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		<title>Bill Gurley on AI bubble: A bunch of people got rich quick and a reset is coming</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/bill-gurley-on-ai-bubble-a-bunch-of-people-got-rich-quick-and-a-reset-is-coming/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Mar 2026 06:48:53 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Benchmark general partner Bill Gurley on Monday said the artificial intelligence wave is real and a lot of people got rich quick, but he expects a &#8220;reset&#8221; to come. &#8220;When people get rich quick, a whole bunch of people come in and want to get rich too, and that&#8217;s why we end up with bubbles,&#8221; [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>Benchmark general partner Bill Gurley on Monday said the artificial intelligence wave is real and a lot of people got rich quick, but he expects a &#8220;reset&#8221; to come.</p>
<p>&#8220;When people get rich quick, a whole bunch of people come in and want to get rich too, and that&#8217;s why we end up with bubbles,&#8221; Gurley told CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;Money Movers.&#8221;</p>
<p>Gurley referenced the work of <a href="https://carlotaperez.org/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Carlota Perez</a>, an economic scholar who wrote &#8220;Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages,&#8221; and noted that &#8220;bubbles only exist when the actual wave is real.&#8221;</p>
<p>The venture capitalist said that when the reset happens, investors should have a price in mind for beat-down software-as-a-service stocks, &#8220;and start gobbling them up.&#8221;</p>
<p>AI has threatened to disrupt segments across the economy, but software stocks have been particularly hard-hit recently. <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-6">Salesforce<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> and <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-7">ServiceNow<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> have each lost about 25% so far in 2026. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF<span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-8"> (IGV)<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span>, which generally tracks the sector, is down about 20% this year.</p>
<p>Tech companies are spending at record rates, due to massive investments in AI infrastructure and soaring memory costs. AI spending for <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-10">Amazon<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span>, <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-11">Meta<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span>, <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-12">Google<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> and <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-13">Microsoft<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> is projected to be about $700 billion this year.</p>
<p>Benchmark was an early investor in <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="SpecialReportArticle-QuoteInBody-15">Uber<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span>, and Gurley played a key role in the exit of then-CEO Travis Kalanick in 2017.</p>
<p>Gurley said Uber&#8217;s annual burn rate of $2 billion during his involvement was &#8220;high anxiety&#8221; as he pointed to the much higher numbers from today&#8217;s big model companies.</p>
<p>&#8220;God bless them,&#8221; Gurley said of AI companies like Anthropic and OpenAI that are burning through cash. &#8220;It&#8217;s a scary way to run a company.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Advisors to the ultra rich say AI isn&#8217;t a gamechanger for landing new clients</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/advisors-to-the-ultra-rich-say-ai-isnt-a-gamechanger-for-landing-new-clients/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jan 2026 14:51:10 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[D3sign &#124; Moment &#124; Getty Images A version of this article first appeared in CNBC&#8217;s Inside Wealth newsletter with Robert Frank, a weekly guide to the high-net-worth investor and consumer. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox. Market data firms have been pitching artificial intelligence as the key to locating elusive ultra-high-net-worth clients. But [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p><em>A version of this article first appeared in CNBC&#8217;s Inside Wealth newsletter with Robert Frank, a weekly guide to the high-net-worth investor and consumer. </em><em>Sign up</em><em> to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.</em></p>
<p>Market data firms have been pitching artificial intelligence as the key to locating elusive ultra-high-net-worth clients. But leaders at elite advisory firms told Inside Wealth they aren&#8217;t sold. </p>
<p>For starters, while AI products can surface data and contact information on ultra-high-net-worth individuals, that&#8217;s only half the battle. </p>
<p>&#8220;When we&#8217;re looking for clients with north of $100 million, I struggle to think they&#8217;re going to take a cold email and say, &#8216;Yes, here&#8217;s my balance sheet,'&#8221; said Matthew Fleissig, CEO and co-founder of Pathstone, a registered investor advisory with $182 billion in client assets.</p>
<p>Instead, he said referrals come when the company works on a more personal level, like when Pathstone once secured a private jet in under an hour for a client who needed to get from New Orleans to Albany, New York, before their mother died. </p>
<p>&#8220;Those types of things are how we are able to grow the business,&#8221; he said. &#8220;We create moments that matter.&#8221;</p>
<p>Fleissig said AI for client prospecting hasn&#8217;t been the gamechanger that startups purport it to be. </p>
<p>&#8220;These databases have been around forever, and now people have added an AI overlay to be able to mine the database,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Most of the time, it&#8217;s very similar strategies of aggregating data sources that are public or you can pay for, and trying to feed you lists of people. We, at this point, can do that ourselves.&#8221;</p>
<p>A growth executive at a high-end national RIA told Inside Wealth that he had done at least 20 demos of AI client prospecting tools in the past six months and said most are built on widely available large language models like Claude and GPT. </p>
<p>&#8220;You&#8217;re slapping a coat of paint on one of five major LLMs and selling through the fact that &#8216;Oh our info is better,'&#8221; said the executive, who requested anonymity to talk about client acquisition strategies. &#8220;Do I pay them $100,000 or do I talk to my IT team and figure out a way of doing it for cents on the dollar?&#8221;</p>
<p>Andrew Douglass, head of growth at AlTi Tiedemann Global, said there is little competitive advantage to using nonexclusive data. When the independent wealth management firm used to cold call clients from these types of databases, the client usually already had an advisor or had been called by dozens of other firms already, he said.</p>
<p>For the past five years, client referrals and personal networks have made up 40% and 30%, respectively, of AlTi&#8217;s organic growth, he said. Another 30% comes from networking with experts like trusts and estates lawyers and accountants who are likely to be working with clients going through a liquidity event, such as inheriting a fortune or selling a business.</p>
<p>&#8220;Most people go out and say, &#8216;Our minimums are $25 million so whoever has $25 million in liquid assets makes a great client.&#8217; We don&#8217;t think that that is a strategy that ultimately works,&#8221; said Douglass, calling from the Heckerling estate planning conference in Orlando, Florida. &#8220;We think really being looked at in the market as a subject matter expert, consistently showing up to places like Heckerling and where the professional community is and being able to provide value, is the most effective way to grow the business,&#8221;</p>
<p>Word-of-mouth referrals are not inherently scalable and can be slow-going. Douglass said the sales cycle with an ultra-high-net-worth client can take 12 months, if not longer. </p>
<p>However, advisories focused on the ultra-rich like AlTi Global are looking for quality, not quantity, he said. The firm&#8217;s annual target for organic growth is 25 to 30 new clients in the U.S., which could add about $1.5 billion to $2 billion in new assets.  </p>
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<p>Eden Ovadia, CEO of AI client prospecting startup Finny, said she is used to encountering skepticism. Ovadia, who co-founded Finny in late 2023, said she views AI prospecting as a complement to traditional outreach rather than a replacement. </p>
<p>She said a popular way for high-end advisors to use Finny is to promote exclusive events to the right audience. For instance, an advisor looking to invite prospects to a suite at a Miami Heat game can use Finny to identify people who work in real estate and are interested in the team. Ovadia also said Finny can be used to identify clients who might need advice after a life transition, such as finding people who recently bought a property worth at least $5 million near Jackson Hole, Wyoming.</p>
<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s definitely a little bit of cynicism we have to get over when we talk to ultra-high-net-worth firms and they&#8217;re, &#8216;No, we don&#8217;t do AI. We want everything to feel really personalized, really white glove,'&#8221; she said. &#8220;I couldn&#8217;t agree more. The idea here is we actually can surface more data about your clients or your prospects than even you know.&#8221;</p>
<p>Finny can also be used to keep an eye on existing clients and monitor for signs they may be unhappy, such as searching for investment advice online, Ovadia said. </p>
<p>Fleissig said he is more excited about customers finding Pathstone through AI platforms like Gemini and ChatGPT. In the past two weeks, he said, Pathstone has received five inbound inquiries from clients worth at least $100 million from AI search engines.</p>
<p>Douglass said while AI hasn&#8217;t changed the way AlTi Global finds new business, he&#8217;s open-minded.</p>
<p>&#8220;If someone has a better mousetrap, we&#8217;re certainly excited about what the market&#8217;s going to look like and bring to bear,&#8221; he said.</p>
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		<title>“Heads I win, tails you lose”: Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki warns on global banking, advocates gold, silver, Bitcoin</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/heads-i-win-tails-you-lose-rich-dad-poor-dad-author-robert-kiyosaki-warns-on-global-banking-advocates-gold-silver-bitcoin/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Dec 2025 23:22:47 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://lsd.hu/heads-i-win-tails-you-lose-rich-dad-poor-dad-author-robert-kiyosaki-warns-on-global-banking-advocates-gold-silver-bitcoin/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Renowned personal finance author, known for his book Rich Dad Poor Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, has once again stirred debate with his sharp commentary on the global financial system, referring to their ‘game’ as “Heads I win, tails you lose.” Taking to his X (formerly Twitter) account, Kiyosaki posted a message under the banner “Lesson #8: [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="30">Renowned personal finance author, known for his book Rich Dad Poor Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, has once again stirred debate with his sharp commentary on the global financial system, referring to their ‘game’ as “Heads I win, tails you lose.”</p>
<p>Taking to his X (formerly Twitter) account, Kiyosaki posted a message under the banner “Lesson #8: How to get richer as the global economy crashes”, urging followers to understand what he refers to as the “REAL GAME” being played by global bankers.</p>
<p>In his post, Kiyosaki states that the true dynamic of the system can be summed up as “Heads I win, tails you lose”, alleging that bankers benefit regardless of market direction. “The bankers of the world control the world because they control global cash flow,” he wrote.</p>
<p>He argues that the system is rigged in favor of financial institutions, where “heads bankers win, tails bankers win&#8230; but you lose.”</p>
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<p lang="en" dir="ltr">LESSON # 8: How to get richer as the global economy crashes.</p>
<p>NAMES of the REAL GAME</p>
<p>“HEADS I WIN<br />TAILS you LOSE.”</p>
<p>The bankers of the world control the world because they control global Cash Flow.</p>
<p>The game bankers play is “Heads bankers win…tails bankers win…. but you…</p>
<p>— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) <a href="https://twitter.com/theRealKiyosaki/status/1999247482396770646?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" target="_blank" rel="noopener">December 11, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
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<p>Kiyosaki asserts that this translates to a broader systemic issue: “Privatize our wins…socialize our losses.” According to him, when banks succeed, they retain the profits, but in times of crisis, the losses are passed onto taxpayers. Citing the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, Kiyosaki remarked that when banks lost billions, the public “covered their loss via an increase in taxes.”</p>
<h2>Advocates alternative assets: Gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum<br /></h2>
<p>Rejecting what he terms a &#8220;rigged&#8221; financial system, Kiyosaki advocated for ownership of tangible assets outside the banking system. He listed gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum as examples of such assets and emphasized that he chooses not to participate in the current financial structure by legally avoiding taxes and diversifying into these instruments.“I choose not to play that game by learning how NOT to pay taxes legally and own tangible assets outside the banking system,” he posted. The statement underscores Kiyosaki’s long-standing preference for precious metals and decentralized assets as part of his wealth strategy.</p>
<p>Kiyosaki also recommended the book Tax-Free Wealth by his advisor Tom Wheelwright for those interested in learning how to reduce their tax liabilities legally. He added that the book is “true throughout most of the world’s economies because the rich do not pay taxes in most countries.”</p>
<p>In his message, Kiyosaki recalled America’s founding in 1773 as a tax-free nation, referencing the Boston Tea Party to support his views on tax resistance.</p>
<h2>Final word<br /></h2>
<p>Kiyosaki ended his post with a cautionary note to his followers: “Don’t be a loser. Get smarter with your money. Take care.”</p>
<p>The author of the bestselling book Rich Dad Poor Dad has consistently been a vocal critic of centralized financial institutions and fiat currency, while promoting self-education, asset diversification, and long-term wealth building strategies.</p>
<p><strong>Also read: Jefferies pegs Nifty Dec 2026 target at 28,300 on improved EPS growth cushioning valuations; names top 10 picks<br /></strong><br />(<strong>Disclaimer</strong>: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)</p>
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		<title>Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki says Bitcoin slump won’t sway him, bets on “The Big Print” boosting gold, silver, crypto</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/rich-dad-poor-dad-author-robert-kiyosaki-says-bitcoin-slump-wont-sway-him-bets-on-the-big-print-boosting-gold-silver-crypto/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Nov 2025 15:19:33 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.lsd.hu/rich-dad-poor-dad-author-robert-kiyosaki-says-bitcoin-slump-wont-sway-him-bets-on-the-big-print-boosting-gold-silver-crypto/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Renowned author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, has weighed in on the recent volatility across global markets, including the sharp decline in Bitcoin, saying he is not selling his holdings despite the downturn. He argued that the current selloff is being driven by a global dash for cash rather than a breakdown in [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="28">Renowned author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, has weighed in on the recent volatility across global markets, including the sharp decline in Bitcoin, saying he is not selling his holdings despite the downturn. He argued that the current selloff is being driven by a global dash for cash rather than a breakdown in fundamental value. </p>
<p>In a detailed post on X, the Rich Dad Poor Dad author described the ongoing turbulence as part of a broader squeeze, but maintained that he is choosing to hold on to his assets.</p>
<p>Kiyosaki said that the world’s deepening debt situation and the potential onset of large-scale monetary expansion—what he refers to as “The Big Print”—are central to his long-term view. While acknowledging the risks, he believes that this environment could ultimately make assets such as gold, silver, Bitcoin and Ethereum more valuable.</p>
<div data-type="javascript" data-title="Twitter" data-contenttype="Text"><cdata></p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">BITCOiN CRASHING:</p>
<p>The everything bubbles are bursting….</p>
<p>Q: Am I selling?</p>
<p>A: NO: I am waiting.</p>
<p>Q: Why aren’t you selling?</p>
<p>A: The cause of all markets crashing is the world is in need of cash.</p>
<p>A: I do not need cash.</p>
<p>A: The real reason I am not selling is because the…</p>
<p>— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) <a href="https://twitter.com/theRealKiyosaki/status/1989617495536263443?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" target="_blank" rel="noopener">November 15, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
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<p>However, he emphasised that his stance reflects his personal financial position and repeatedly stressed that his comments do not constitute investment advice.</p>
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<p>Sharing his outlook in the post, Kiyosaki wrote, “BITCOIN CRASHING: The everything bubbles are bursting….” When asked whether he is selling, he responded, “NO: I am waiting.”</p>
<p>Explaining his reasoning, he said, “The cause of all markets crashing is the world is in need of cash. I do not need cash.” According to him, the primary reason he is holding on is his expectation of a significant monetary event.</p>
<p>As he put it, “The real reason I am not selling is because the problem…. The world is deeply in debt…. and my bet is ‘The Big Print’… is about to begin…. which will make gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum more valuable….as fake money crashes.”</p>
<p>He also acknowledged that his view may not play out as expected. To a question about whether he and author Lawrence Lepard could be wrong, he replied simply: “Yes.” Throughout his post, Kiyosaki reiterated that he is not offering financial advice, saying, “I do not give investment advice. I share with you what I am doing.”</p>
<p>He added that many people may need cash urgently, which could justify their decision to sell. “If you are fearful and need cash….as most of the world does…. You may want to sell your best assets and go to cash.”</p>
<p>Kiyosaki even referenced Miss Piggy from the Muppets to explain his philosophy on money management, quoting, “The key to money management is to always manage to have a lot of money.”</p>
<p>He contrasted this with traditional education systems, which he said do not teach practical financial lessons.</p>
<p>Reflecting on his own past struggles, he wrote, “I ‘ve panicked many times and learned priceless personal financial lessons not taught in schools….” Despite these experiences, he said he continues to believe that mistakes are an essential part of learning and wealth-building.</p>
<p><strong>Also read: Gold plunges Rs 5,000/10 gram, silver tanks Rs 8,700/kg. 3 reasons for yellow metal&#8217;s sharpest intraday slide<br /></strong><br />(<strong>Disclaimer</strong>: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)</p>
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		<title>Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki renews global market crash warning, urges shift to silver and Ethereum</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/rich-dad-poor-dad-author-robert-kiyosaki-renews-global-market-crash-warning-urges-shift-to-silver-and-ethereum/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Oct 2025 14:54:47 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.lsd.hu/rich-dad-poor-dad-author-robert-kiyosaki-renews-global-market-crash-warning-urges-shift-to-silver-and-ethereum/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Robert Kiyosaki, the outspoken author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, reignited his long-standing doomsday warning on Sunday, predicting that “the biggest crash in world history” will unfold this year and wipe out Baby Boomer retirements. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Kiyosaki doubled down on his decades-old call to abandon “printed assets” in favour [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="18">Robert Kiyosaki, the outspoken author of Rich Dad Poor Dad, reignited his long-standing doomsday warning on Sunday, predicting that “the biggest crash in world history” will unfold this year and wipe out Baby Boomer retirements. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Kiyosaki doubled down on his decades-old call to abandon “printed assets” in favour of what he calls “real assets” &#8211; specifically silver and Ethereum, which he believes are both undervalued and industrially useful.</p>
<p>“Baby Boom Retirements are going to be wiped out. Many boomers will be homeless or living in their kids’ basements. Sad,” Kiyosaki wrote on X, warning followers that the coming collapse will devastate traditional savings and retirement accounts. The 78-year-old author referenced his earlier work, Rich Dad’s Prophecy, noting, “I predicted the biggest crash in world history was coming in my book. That crash will happen this year.”</p>
<p>The financial educator, long known for his skepticism of fiat money, reiterated his mantra that “SAVERS are LOSERS,” arguing that inflation “turns savers’ cash into trash.” Instead, he urged investors to accumulate tangible and digital assets like gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum — adding that silver and Ethereum currently offer the best value proposition.</p>
<p><b>Link to post: <a data-ga-onclick="Inarticle articleshow link click#Markets#href" href="https://x.com/theRealKiyosaki/status/1977112798133113184?t=9HZLP8s_qlwOOdbMiUKm-Q&amp;s=08" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">https://x.com/theRealKiyosaki/status/1977112798133113184?t=9HZLP8s_qlwOOdbMiUKm-Q&amp;s=08</a><br /></b></p>
<p>“REMINDER: I have been warning anyone who would listen not to save printed assets. Invest in real assets,” Kiyosaki wrote, emphasizing that silver and Ethereum stand out not just as stores of value but as “used in industry.” He encouraged followers to “study pros and cons and usefulness of silver and Ethereum… from haters and lovers… and then invest with your own financial wisdom.”</p>
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<p>Kiyosaki framed the call as a lesson in financial education, adding, “That’s how you elevate your own financial intelligence and get richer.”<br /><b></p>
<h2>A long bet on hard assets</h2>
<p></b>Kiyosaki’s renewed alarm comes even as his preferred assets have soared this year. As of late September, a hypothetical portfolio tracking his favored picks — gold, silver, and Bitcoin — had gained nearly 40% in 2025, according to Finbold Research. Silver led with a 47.5% rise to $43.89 per ounce, while gold jumped 43.06% and Bitcoin climbed 21.17%.Those gains have reinforced Kiyosaki’s long-standing thesis that scarce, non-fiat assets are the safest refuge against what he views as systemic financial fragility. Whether the “biggest crash” materializes this year or not, his conviction remains clear: in a world of central bank excess and monetary uncertainty, hard assets — not savings — are the ultimate insurance.<b></b></p>
<p>(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)</p>
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		<title>How Rich Is Ethereum&#8217;s Vitalik Buterin? Arkham’s 2025 Report</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/how-rich-is-ethereums-vitalik-buterin-arkhams-2025-report/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Sep 2025 15:40:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Crypto News]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Arkham Intelligence’s new deep-dive, shared via X on September 6, pegs Vitalik Buterin’s wealth at “at least $1.05 billion”—a lower-bound tally built from identified on-chain assets and known private holdings. The report situates the estimate as of August 2025 and emphasizes that [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div class="trusted-editorial-content__text"><u>Trusted Editorial</u> content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. <a href="#" target="_blank">Ad Disclosure</a></div></div>
<p>Arkham Intelligence’s new deep-dive, shared via X on September 6, pegs Vitalik Buterin’s wealth at “at least $1.05 billion”—a lower-bound tally built from identified on-chain assets and known private holdings. The report situates the estimate as of August 2025 and emphasizes that it fluctuates intraday with Ether’s price.</p>
<h2>How Rich Is Ethereum Co-Founder Vitalik Buterin?</h2>
<p>The backbone is Ether itself. Arkham <a href="https://x.com/arkham/status/1964375849324429602" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">attributes</a> ~240,042 ETH to Buterin’s known wallets and notes that over 99% of his crypto portfolio value is in ETH. At the time of writing in the report, ETH was $4,321, implying roughly $1.04 billion of ETH exposure alone and explaining the tight co-movement between his net worth and ETH’s market cycle.</p>
<p>Historically, Arkham reconstructs a precise balance-history curve. On December 31, 2015, Buterin’s known crypto wealth stood at $596,760; by December 31, 2016 it was $4.23 million, then $278.37 million a year later—his largest year-over-year jump in the 2017 bull run.</p>
<p>He first crossed the on-chain billionaire mark at age 27 during 2021 as ETH traded above $3,000, and briefly peaked at $2.09 billion on November 18, 2021 with ETH near its cycle high. The subsequent bear market slashed the mark-to-market value by roughly 75%, from $1.2 billion (Dec 31, 2021) to $300.58 million (Dec 31, 2022), before recovering to $1.05 billion in the 2024–2025 rebound.</p>
<p>“The peak of Vitalik’s crypto net worth was in May 2021, when 50% of the supply of the memecoin SHIB was sent to him and was briefly worth $20 Billion. Vitalik donated those tokens to charity and did not profit off of this memecoin,” Arkham writes.</p>
<p>On ownership concentration, Arkham compares Buterin to other top-tier ETH holders. The ETH2 (Beacon) deposit contract leads with 66,887,347.41 ETH, followed by exchange and ETF-custody clusters (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken, Robinhood, Grayscale, BlackRock). Arkham concludes Buterin is the largest identifiable individual with access to his coins, while Estonian banker Rain Lõhmus sits on ~250,000 ETH that are believed to be inaccessible due to lost keys.</p>
<p>The Ethereum co-founder’s own disclosures anchor the percentages. In October 2018 he wrote: “I never had 900k ETH. When I had 0.9% of all ETH, the supply was ~75 million.” That statement frames Arkham’s finding that his share never materially exceeded ~0.9% and has trended down over time as he sold or donated and as supply evolved.</p>
<p>Non-ETH positions are small in dollar terms but spelled out with exact counts. As of publication, Arkham shows 10,000,000,000 WHITE (~$3.72 million), 30,000,000,000 MOODENG (~$690,000), and 869,509 KNC (~$327,000) among his larger non-ETH tokens. The long tail includes $12,400 of TORN linked to Tornado Cash usage and 218,413,000 SHIB (~$2,720) remaining on known addresses.</p>
<p>Buterin has publicly explained some of the flows that complicate “sales” tallies. In August 2022 he stated, “I’ll out myself as someone who has used [Tornado Cash] to donate to this exact cause,” referring to donations to Ukraine; he has also said that exchange-bound transfers from his wallets since 2018 have been for donations, not personal profit-taking.</p>
<p>Off-chain, Arkham highlights early equity in zero-knowledge firm StarkWare, which reached an $8 billion valuation in its 2022 Series D—an illiquid but potentially meaningful additive to the on-chain floor. Precise sizing of these stakes is not disclosed, so Arkham treats the $1.05 billion as a conservative baseline rather than a cap.</p>
<p>At press time, Ethereum traded at $4,298.</p>
<figure id="attachment_576016" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-576016" style="width: 1024px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img fetchpriority="high" data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" class="size-full wp-image-576016" src="https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?resize=1024%2C471" alt="Ethereum price" width="1024" height="471" srcset="https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=3628 3628w, https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=640 640w, https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=768 768w, https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=980 980w, https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=1536 1536w, https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=2048 2048w, https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=750 750w, https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=1140 1140w, https://bitcoinist.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/ETHUSDT_2025-09-08_07-26-07.png?w=3000 3000w" sizes="(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" title="How Rich Is Ethereum&#039;s Vitalik Buterin? Arkham’s 2025 Report 15"><figcaption id="caption-attachment-576016" class="wp-caption-text">Ethereum remains below key resistance, 1-week chart | Source: <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/x/yaSfNaS9/" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">ETHUSDT on TradingView.com</a></figcaption></figure>
<p>Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com</p>
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		<title>Cuomo accuses Mamdani of being a &#8216;very rich person,&#8217; demands he &#8216;move out immediately&#8217; from his rent-stabilized apartment</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/cuomo-accuses-mamdani-of-being-a-very-rich-person-demands-he-move-out-immediately-from-his-rent-stabilized-apartment/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Aug 2025 04:19:17 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Andrew Cuomo is demanding that his opponent in New York City’s mayoral race, Zohran Mamdani, vacate his rent stabilized apartment, while pushing a longshot proposal that would bar other middle-class renters from accessing much of the city’s housing. “I am calling on you to move out immediately,” Cuomo wrote in a widely-viewed social media post this weekend, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>Andrew Cuomo is demanding that his opponent in New York City’s mayoral race, Zohran Mamdani, vacate his rent stabilized apartment, while pushing a longshot proposal that would bar other middle-class renters from accessing much of the city’s housing.</p>
<div>
<p>“I am calling on you to move out immediately,” Cuomo wrote in a <a href="https://x.com/andrewcuomo/status/1953897868822991058" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Go to https://x.com/andrewcuomo/status/1953897868822991058" class="sc-19cc8fd2-0 iHosVH">widely-viewed social media post</a> this weekend, casting Mamdani as “a very rich person” occupying an apartment that could otherwise be used by a homeless family.</p>
<p>The line of attack drew tens of millions of views online and revived a long-standing debate about who should have access to New York’s highly sought-after rent stabilized units, which make up roughly 40% of the city’s rental stock and are currently open to people of all incomes.</p>
<p>It also illustrated the rhetorical lengths that Cuomo is willing to go to as he mounts an independent bid for mayor against Mamdani, a democratic socialist who <a href="https://apnews.com/article/zohran-mamdani-cuomo-nyc-mayor-971e12af3a636e65e81f8031a9ea8f4f" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Go to https://apnews.com/article/zohran-mamdani-cuomo-nyc-mayor-971e12af3a636e65e81f8031a9ea8f4f" class="sc-19cc8fd2-0 iHosVH">defeated him handily</a> in the Democratic primary on a platform that centered on affordability and freezing rent on stabilized units.</p>
<p>Mamdani, who earns $143,000 annually as a state legislator, has said he pays $2,300 per month for a one-bedroom apartment in Queens that he shares with his wife — a living situation that Cuomo called “disgusting.”</p>
<p>By contrast, Cuomo, a multimillionaire who previously served as the state’s governor, spends roughly $8,000 monthly on an apartment in Midtown Manhattan that he moved to last year from Westchester County, a wealthy suburb.</p>
<p>In recent weeks, the 67-year-old Cuomo has adopted a more aggressive social media presence, earning both praise and mockery for his use of <a href="https://x.com/andrewcuomo/status/1949503746838331895" target="_blank" rel="noopener" aria-label="Go to https://x.com/andrewcuomo/status/1949503746838331895" class="sc-19cc8fd2-0 iHosVH">millennial internet-speak</a> and repeated references to his opponent’s “privilege.” Mamdani’s mother is a successful independent filmmaker and his father is a Columbia University professor.</p>
<p>On Monday, Cuomo went a step further, releasing a formal proposal, which he dubbed “Zohran’s Law,” barring landlords from leasing vacant rent stabilized units to “wealthy tenants,” defined as those who would pay less than 30% of their income toward the existing rent.</p>
<p>The rent regulation program, which caps how much landlords can raise rent each year on roughly 1 million apartments, does not currently include any income restrictions — something opponents have long pushed to change.</p>
<p>While the average rent stabilized household makes $60,000 annually, it is not uncommon for middle- or higher-income New Yorkers to live in the units, which sometimes rent for several thousand dollars per month.</p>
<p>But Cuomo’s idea drew swift skepticism from some housing experts, who noted the cap would, by definition, mean all new tenants of rent stabilized units would give up a substantial portion of their income.</p>
<p>“The idea that we should only have people living in apartments they can’t afford seems to be setting people up for failure,” said Ellen Davidson, a housing attorney at The Legal Aid Society. “It’s not a proposal from somebody who knows anything about the housing market or New York City.”</p>
<p>The Real Estate Board of New York, a landlord group whose members overwhelmingly backed Cuomo in the primary, did not respond to an inquiry about whether they supported the proposal. But in an email, the group’s president, James Whelan, said that the “benefits of rent regulation are not well targeted” and that some form of means testing should be considered.</p>
<p>Under state law, hikes on rent-stabilized units are decided by an appointed board, rather than landlords.</p>
<p>“Rent stabilization has never been means tested because it’s not an affordable housing program, it’s a program about neighborhood stability,” said Davidson, the housing attorney, adding that the proposal would likely present a “bureaucratic nightmare.”</p>
<p>A spokesperson for Cuomo’s campaign, Rich Azzopardi, said in a text message that “the ultra wealthy and privileged should not be taking advantage of a program meant to aide working New Yorkers,” adding that the income threshold standards would fall under the same system that governs the city’s other programs for low-income housing.</p>
<p>Mamdani’s spokesperson, Dora Pekec, said the proposal proved that Cuomo was both desperate and out of touch.</p>
<p>“While Cuomo cares only for the well-being of his Republican donors, Zohran believes city government’s job is to guarantee a life of dignity, not determine who is worth one,” she added.
</p>
</div>
<div data-cy="subscriptionPlea"><strong>Introducing the 2025 Fortune Global 500</strong>, the definitive ranking of the biggest companies in the world. Explore this year&#8217;s list.</div>
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		<title>Why Warren Buffett, Jim Rogers are ditching stocks &#038; bonds? Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki explains</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/why-warren-buffett-jim-rogers-are-ditching-stocks-bonds-rich-dad-poor-dad-author-robert-kiyosaki-explains/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Jul 2025 10:23:16 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.lsd.hu/why-warren-buffett-jim-rogers-are-ditching-stocks-bonds-rich-dad-poor-dad-author-robert-kiyosaki-explains/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Robert Kiyosaki, author of the bestselling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, in his recent post on X (formerly Twitter), explained how investment veterans Warren Buffett and Jim Rogers have sold most of their stocks and bonds and are now holding cash or silver. Referring to their actions, Kiyosaki urged followers to find out why, and [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="28">Robert Kiyosaki, author of the bestselling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, in his recent post on X (formerly Twitter), explained how investment veterans Warren Buffett and Jim Rogers have sold most of their stocks and bonds and are now holding cash or silver.</p>
<p>Referring to their actions, Kiyosaki urged followers to find out why, and added that he is staying invested in gold, silver, and Bitcoin.</p>
<p>“If you do not know why Buffet and Rogers have sold their stocks and bonds you may want to find out. I sit tight with gold, silver, &amp; Bitcoin,” he said in his tweet.</p>
<div data-type="javascript" data-title="Twitter" data-contenttype="Text"><cdata></p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">DO YOU have a 401k or IRA filled with stocks?</p>
<p>DO YOU know investment legends Warren Buffet and Jim Rogers have sold most if not all of their stocks and bonds?</p>
<p>They are both in cash or silver.</p>
<p>If you do not know why Buffet and Rogers have sold their stocks and bonds you may…</p>
<p>— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) <a href="https://twitter.com/theRealKiyosaki/status/1949621163476554064?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" target="_blank" rel="noopener">July 28, 2025</a></p></blockquote>
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<p>He noted that America’s debt levels are historically high and suggested that continued reliance on printed money may not be sustainable.</p>
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<p>In a strongly worded message, Kiyosaki wrote, “Good luck. We may be on the brink of another 1929 crash and another Great Depression.”</p>
<p>The recent tweet reiterates his long-standing belief that the current U.S. economic trajectory is unsustainable due to surging national debt and unchecked money printing by the Federal Reserve.</p>
<p>Kiyosaki, on multiple occasions, has declared that he personally prefers holding physical gold, silver, and Bitcoin over equities or ETFs. In his previous tweet, he said, “You can only print money to pay your bills…for so long,” emphasizing his view that reliance on fiat currency and fiscal stimulus is pushing the U.S. economy toward a collapse.</p>
<p>Today, he has urged the investors to do their own research and to explore why figures like Buffett and Rogers may be rotating out of traditional assets.</p>
<p>This tweet aligns with his previous posts that emphasized the importance of real, tangible assets in times of economic instability, even drawing a metaphor comparing ETFs to a &#8220;picture of a gun for personal defense,&#8221; suggesting that while financial instruments like gold or Bitcoin ETFs are convenient for average investors, they lack the protection of physically held assets.</p>
<p>“Sometimes it’s best to have real gold, silver, Bitcoin, and a gun,” he has said.</p>
<p>As concerns over inflation, interest rates, and global market volatility continue, Kiyosaki’s repeated calls to diversify into hard assets are drawing fresh attention—especially when accompanied by mentions of high-profile investors like Buffett.</p>
<p>His warnings may not predict the exact timing of market events but they continue to influence investor sentiment around safe-haven assets in uncertain times.</p>
<p><strong>Also read: Rs 1 lakh to Rs 20 lakh in 5 years! Force Motors shares deliver jackpot returns with zero analyst coverage<br /></strong><br /><i>(<strong>Disclaimer</strong>: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)</i></p>
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		<title>Rich American Express customers continue to spend freely, with one exception</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/rich-american-express-customers-continue-to-spend-freely-with-one-exception/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[LSD News Szerkesztőség]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Jul 2025 12:00:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Finance]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[American Express has long benefited from a focus on wealthier customers who appreciate the credit card company&#8217;s travel and dining perks. That has helped insulate the company from concerns over a spending slowdown. In the second quarter, total spending on Amex cards jumped 7%, matching the first quarter and higher than the 6% increase a [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p><span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-1">American Express<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> has long benefited from a focus on wealthier customers who appreciate the credit card company&#8217;s travel and dining perks.</p>
<p>That has helped insulate the company from concerns over a spending slowdown. In the second quarter, total spending on Amex cards jumped 7%, matching the first quarter and higher than the 6% increase a year ago.</p>
<p>But travel spending in the quarter was weaker than transactions for goods and services, and that&#8217;s specifically because airline spending has stalled out, coming in <a href="https://s26.q4cdn.com/747928648/files/doc_financials/2025/q2/Q2-2025-Earnings-Presentation.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">flat</a> from a year ago, American Express said Friday.</p>
<p>Economy class domestic airfare is the source of the weakness, Amex CFO Christophe Le Caillec told CNBC. American Express said spending on premium cabins was up 10% from the previous year and that hotel bookings that cost more than $5,000 were up 9%.</p>
<p>But the weak spot could be of concern given the company&#8217;s airline partnerships and network of airport lounges, Truist analyst Brian Foran noted.</p>
<p>Airfare prices have also declined, which means consumers are spending less when they buy tickets. Airfare fell 3.5% in June from a year earlier while inflation overall rose, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.</p>
<p>Despite beating expectations for second-quarter <a href="https://s26.q4cdn.com/747928648/files/doc_financials/2025/q2/Q2-2025-Earnings-Press-Release.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">profit</a> and revenue, and reaffirming its 2025 guidance for those metrics, shares of Amex fell 2.5% in midday trading. Year to date, the company&#8217;s shares have climbed less than 4%, trailing most other financials like <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-7">JPMorgan Chase<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> and <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-8">Citigroup<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span>.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s mostly over investor concerns about the spending on rewards programs that Amex has to do as it launches a refreshed Platinum card, Foran said. The company faces increased competition in the premium card space from JPMorgan, <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-10">Capital One<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> and Citigroup, he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;The bear narrative is they have to push harder and harder to get growth, spending more to get more,&#8221; Foran said.</p>
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		<title>How to mix assets like a mad scientist and get rich quietly</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/how-to-mix-assets-like-a-mad-scientist-and-get-rich-quietly/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[LSD News Szerkesztőség]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jul 2025 15:22:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[diversification]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[For most retail investors, the word &#8220;equity&#8221; instinctively signals higher returns, and higher risk. It is commonly assumed that increasing the equity allocation in a portfolio proportionally increases its volatility. However, as counterintuitive as it may sound, this belief doesn’t always hold true. Empirical data demonstrates that equity, when added judiciously to a debt-heavy portfolio, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="42">For most retail investors, the word &#8220;equity&#8221; instinctively signals higher returns, and higher risk. It is commonly assumed that increasing the equity allocation in a portfolio proportionally increases its volatility. However, as counterintuitive as it may sound, this belief doesn’t always hold true.</p>
<p>Empirical data demonstrates that equity, when added judiciously to a debt-heavy portfolio, can actually reduce overall portfolio volatility while improving returns. This article explores that relationship and goes a step further, demonstrating how adding a third asset class like gold can further optimize the risk-reward profile of a portfolio.</p>
<p></p>
<h2>Adding equity is not equal to adding volatility</h2>
<p>Let’s begin with a basic portfolio comparison. A 100% bond portfolio, over the studied period, delivered an average annual return of 7.1% with a volatility of 6.8%. However, introducing just 10% equity into the mix (i.e., 90% debt and 10% equity) improves the return to 8.2% and, quite remarkably, reduces the volatility to 6.0%.</p>
<p>This isn’t an anomaly. A 75% bond and 25% equity portfolio delivered a return of 9.3%, still maintaining a volatility of just 6.9%—almost at par with a 100% bond portfolio.</p>
<p></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="122416415" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
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<p>This behavior is primarily due to the low correlation between debt and equity. When asset classes do not move in perfect sync, they tend to offset each other’s volatility, creating a smoother return path. This phenomenon is referred to as diversification benefit, and it forms the foundation of modern portfolio theory.</p>
<h2>Introducing Gold: A third asset with distinct value</h2>
<p>The picture becomes even more compelling when a third asset class—gold—is added to the equity-debt mix. Gold is known for its negative correlation with equity and low correlation with bonds, especially during economic stress or inflationary periods. When 20% gold is introduced into a two-asset portfolio of 75% debt and 25% equity, the new three-asset portfolio (55% debt, 25% equity, 20% gold) maintains a volatility level similar to that of the 100% bond portfolio (6.8%) while achieving an average return of 11.1%.</p>
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<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="unnamed (1) (3)" alt="unnamed (1) (3)" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="122416412" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-122416412/unnamed-1-3.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>What this means is profound: investors can add a return-generating asset like gold without increasing portfolio volatility. In fact, the return-volatility curve shifts leftward, showing improved returns for the same or even lower levels of risk. The presence of gold acts as a hedge during equity drawdowns and also performs well during economic uncertainties, such as currency depreciation or geopolitical stress.</p>
<h2>The importance of diversification across market cycles</h2>
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<p>An analysis of calendar-year returns between 2013 and 2024 shows that asset class leadership changes frequently. In some years, domestic equity (S&amp;P BSE Sensex) tops the chart, while in others, gold or foreign equities outperform. For instance, gold surged in 2020 with a 28.1% return when equities were under pressure. In contrast, domestic equities delivered a 25.5% return in 2023 when gold was relatively moderate.</p>
<p>This year-to-year rotation of performance underscores a key investment truth: it is nearly impossible to predict the top-performing asset class consistently. Relying on a single asset class exposes investors to concentration risk. Diversification across equity, debt, gold, and foreign assets ensures that while some assets may underperform, others may outperform, thereby cushioning the overall impact.</p>
<h2>The correlation advantage: How unrelated assets work in tandem</h2>
<div data-align="" data-msid="122416397" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="unnamed (3) (1)" alt="unnamed (3) (1)" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="122416397" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-122416397/unnamed-3-1.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>A key reason why diversification works lies in the correlation matrix between asset classes. Over the observed period:</p>
<ul>
<li>Indian equity and gold had a negative correlation of -0.48</li>
<li>Debt had a mildly positive correlation with gold (0.05) and foreign equity (0.13)</li>
<li>Indian equity and US equity showed a moderate positive correlation of 0.42</li>
</ul>
<h2>Constructing a sample multi-asset portfolio</h2>
<p>Based on the above observations, let’s construct a diversified portfolio that balances growth, stability, and protection:</p>
<ul>
<li>25% Indian Equity (S&amp;P BSE Sensex TRI)</li>
<li>45% Debt (CRISIL Short-Term Bond Index)</li>
<li>25% Gold (MCX Gold)</li>
<li>5% US Equity (S&amp;P 500 TRI)</li>
</ul>
<p>This portfolio is rebalanced annually. Over the period from FY2019 to FY2025, it delivered a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.7% with significantly lower volatility compared to a 100% equity portfolio.</p>
<p>Interestingly, during years when Indian equity posted negative or flat returns, gold and debt often provided positive returns, acting as effective stabilizers. For example, in FY2023, Indian equity returned only 1.7%, but gold delivered 14.2%, and debt remained stable. The combined portfolio still managed a positive return of 3.5% that year.</p>
<h2>Final thought!</h2>
<p>The traditional notion that higher returns must come with higher volatility no longer holds water in a world where intelligent asset allocation is possible. Empirical data clearly shows that a well-balanced portfolio made of low and negatively correlated assets can offer higher returns with reduced risk. The key lies in thoughtful construction and periodic rebalancing—not speculation or market timing.</p>
<p><em>(The author Chakrivardhan Kuppala is Cofounder &amp; Executive Director, Prime Wealth Finserv Pvt. Ltd.)</em></p>
<p><em>(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)</em></p>
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