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		<title>Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty’s next big move hinges on support test; volatility set to stay high</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/dalal-street-week-ahead-niftys-next-big-move-hinges-on-support-test-volatility-set-to-stay-high/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Apr 2026 18:39:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[big]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dalal]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[India VIX]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Nifty]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[The markets remained under sustained pressure through the week and trended lower, ending on a negative note. After attempting a mild recovery early on, the Nifty faced selling at higher levels and gradually drifted lower. It traded in a relatively wide range of 788 points, oscillating between 24,601.70 and 23,813.65. Volatility spiked notably, with the [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="27">The markets remained under sustained pressure through the week and trended lower, ending on a negative note. After attempting a mild recovery early on, the Nifty faced selling at higher levels and gradually drifted lower. It traded in a relatively wide range of 788 points, oscillating between 24,601.70 and 23,813.65. Volatility spiked notably, with the India VIX rising by 14.57% to 19.71, reflecting increased nervousness among market participants. The headline index eventually closed the week with a net loss of 455.60 points (-1.87%).</p>
<p>The broader technical structure shows that the Nifty has slipped back into a corrective phase after failing to sustain above its recent resistance zone. The index has moved below its short-term moving averages and is currently hovering near an important support region around the 23,800 zone. </p>
<p></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="130513052" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishaw chart" alt="Milan Vaishaw chart" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="130513052" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-130513052/milan-vaishaw-chart.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>This area now becomes crucial; any sustained breach may open the doors for an extended decline. On the upside, the zone near 24,400–24,500 has started acting as a supply area. The market is no longer in a trending phase but appears to be slipping into a broad consolidation with a negative bias. A decisive move above 24,500 can only revive strength, while a break below 23,800 may accelerate weakness. Given the current setup and the truncated trading week due to the Maharashtra Day holiday on Friday, the markets may begin on a cautious note. Immediate resistance levels are seen at 24,200 and 24,450, while supports are placed at 23,700 and 23,500. </p>
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<p>The weekly RSI stands at 43.10, which is neutral but leaning bearish, and does not show any divergence against price. The MACD remains below its signal line, continuing to stay in negative territory, indicating weak momentum. From a pattern perspective, the Nifty appears to be inside a very broad trading range but below two of the three key moving averages. The index is trading below its 50-week moving average (~25,041) and struggling near the 100-week MA (~24,512), both of which now act as overhead resistance. The long-term 200-week average remains much lower, indicating that while the primary trend is intact, the intermediate trend is under stress. </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="130513041" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishaw chart 2" alt="Milan Vaishaw chart 2" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="130513041" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-130513041/milan-vaishaw-chart-2.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>Looking ahead, market participants should adopt a cautious and defensive approach. Fresh aggressive buying should be avoided until the index shows signs of stabilising above key resistance levels. Priority should be given to capital protection and selective stock-specific trades, rather than broad-based exposure. Traders should remain nimble, respect stop losses, and avoid over-leveraging in what is shaping up to be a volatile and range-bound environment.<br />The Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) shows that there is no major change in the sectoral setup. The Nifty Energy, Midcap 100, Infrastructure, PSE, Pharma, and Metal Indices are inside the leading quadrant. While some of them are slowing down on their relative</p>
<p>momentum, these groups may relatively outperform the broader markets.</p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="130513034" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishaw chart 3" alt="Milan Vaishaw chart 3" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="130513034" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-130513034/milan-vaishaw-chart-3.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>The Nifty PSU Bank, Banknifty, Auto, and Financial Services Indices are placed inside the weakening quadrant. Their relative performance is expected to weaken over the coming days.</p>
<p>The Nifty IT Index continues to languish inside the lagging quadrant along with the Nifty Services Sector Index. The Nifty Realty Index, which is also inside the lagging quadrant, is showing continued sharp improvement in its relative momentum against the broader Nifty 500 Index.</p>
<p>The FMCG and the Media Index are placed inside the improving quadrant.</p>
<p><i>Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA, is a Consulting Technical Analyst and founder of EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae and is based in Vadodara. He can be reached at milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia</i></p>
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		<title>D-Street Week Ahead: Nifty extends rebound; Godfrey Phillips signals breakout after base formation</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/d-street-week-ahead-nifty-extends-rebound-godfrey-phillips-signals-breakout-after-base-formation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[LSD News Szerkesztőség]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Apr 2026 23:28:23 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[base]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breakout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bullish divergence]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[extends]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Godfrey]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[markets news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nifty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nifty news]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nifty rebound]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phillips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[quadrant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rebound]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[technical analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://lsd.hu/d-street-week-ahead-nifty-extends-rebound-godfrey-phillips-signals-breakout-after-base-formation/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[After a day of breather, the markets resumed their rebound and extended their move while ending the day on a positive note. The Nifty opened higher and gradually kept building on the opening gains through the day. No major selling pressure was seen and the markets maintained their gains throughout the session. The headline Index [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="17">After a day of breather, the markets resumed their rebound and extended their move while ending the day on a positive note. The Nifty opened higher and gradually kept building on the opening gains through the day. No major selling pressure was seen and the markets maintained their gains throughout the session. The headline Index closed with a net gain of 275.50 points (+1.16%).</p>
<p>This cigarette manufacturer has shown a major base formation over the past several weeks. As indicated by the technical parameters, the stock is set to move higher from its current levels, leading to a potential trend reversal in the stock.</p>
<p><b></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="130190398" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="130190398" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-130190398/milan-vaishnav-chart.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
</div>
<p></b>After staying in a corrective downtrend for a few months, GODFREYPHLP formed a base for itself in January this year. This base formation happened when the RSI formed a bullish divergence against the price. Over the past week, the stock has traded sideways while staying disconnected with the market moves on the either side.The daily MACD has turned positive over the past few days; it is now bullish and above its signal line. The expanding Histogram indicates accelerating momentum on the upside. The RSI has formed a new 14-period high, which is bullish.</p>
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<p>The relative strength is showing a major trend shift. After flattening out, the RS line has started to move higher and has crossed above its 50-period MA. The stock has rolled inside the leading quadrant of the RRG; this will ensure relative outperformance of the stock over the coming days.</p>
<p>The OBV has formed a new high ahead of the price breakout. This bullish divergence indicates strong accumulation in the stock while it formed a base.</p>
<p>An expected move in GODFREYPHLP can take it higher to Rs. 2,300. A close below Rs. 2,030 would negate the current technical setup.</p>
<p>Milan Vaishnav CMT, MSTA, is a Technical Analyst and founder of EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae, and is based in Vadodara. He can be reached at milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia</div>
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		<title>Nifty tests support zone amid corrective market phase; cautious week seen ahead</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/nifty-tests-support-zone-amid-corrective-market-phase-cautious-week-seen-ahead/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[LSD News Szerkesztőség]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2026 11:30:57 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cautious]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corrective]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India VIX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[indian stock market trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market consolidation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nifty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nifty bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nifty energy index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nifty it index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nifty weekly outlook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[phase]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[quadrant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Relative Rotation Graphs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sector rotation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market technical analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Support]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tests]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Week]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[zone]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://lsd.hu/nifty-tests-support-zone-amid-corrective-market-phase-cautious-week-seen-ahead/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The markets traded under sustained pressure through the week and ended on a distinctly negative note. After attempting a modest recovery early on, the Nifty faced persistent selling at higher levels and drifted lower as the week progressed. The index oscillated within a defined range of 25,771.45 on the higher side and 25,141.30 on the [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="32">The markets traded under sustained pressure through the week and ended on a distinctly negative note. After attempting a modest recovery early on, the Nifty faced persistent selling at higher levels and drifted lower as the week progressed. The index oscillated within a defined range of 25,771.45 on the higher side and 25,141.30 on the lower side. Volatility cooled off , with the India VIX declining 4.60% to 13.70 on a weekly basis. The Nifty closed the week with a net loss of 392.60 points (-1.54%). </p>
<p>The broader technical structure remains corrective within a larger uptrend. On the weekly chart, Nifty continues to hover just above its 50-week moving average (25,047), while staying well above the 100-week (24,422) and 200-week (21,571) averages, preserving the long-term bullish structure. </p>
<p></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128881865" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128881865" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128881865/milan-vaishnav-chart.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>However, the index is trading below the 20- week average (25,756) and near the lower Bollinger Band (25,065), indicating shortterm weakness. The price action over the past several weeks resembles a mild descending consolidation within a broader rising structure, suggesting a loss of upside momentum. A sustained move above 25,800 would be required to negate the present short-term weakness and open the door for a directional upmove. On the downside, a decisive violation of the 25,000–24,950 zone could trigger incremental corrective pressure toward lower supports.With Tuesday, March 03, being a trading holiday on account of Holi, the truncated week may begin on a cautious note amid prevailing softness. Immediate resistance levels are seen at 25,350 and 25,550. Key supports are placed at 25,050 and 24,700. </p>
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<p>The weekly RSI stands at 46.27; it remains neutral but tilted lower and does not show any visible bullish or bearish divergence against price. The weekly MACD remains below its signal line but is in positive territory. The index has formed a relatively widebodied bearish candle on the weekly chart, reflecting distribution at higher levels. </p>
<p>From a pattern perspective, the Nifty appears to be undergoing a time-wise consolidation after a prolonged upmove. The index is testing the confluence of the lower Bollinger Band and the 50-week moving average, a zone that could offer intermediate support. Failure to hold this band could lead to a deeper retracement toward the 100- week average. The broader higher-top–higher-bottom structure remains intact on the long-term chart, but near-term price behavior suggests a pause with corrective bias but not any structural damage on the technical front at present. </p>
<p>In the coming truncated week, a cautious and selective approach would be prudent. Traders should avoid aggressive fresh longs until the index reclaims levels above 25,800 with strength. At the same time, any breach of 25,000 must be monitored closely for follow-through weakness. Protecting existing gains, maintaining tight stop-losses, and focusing on stock-specific opportunities with relative strength will be essential. The most effective approach for the week would be to stay measured, nimble, and responsive to key levels rather than anticipating a directional move prematurely. </p>
<p><i>In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of allthe listed stocks. </i></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128881855" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128881855" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128881855/milan-vaishnav-chart-2.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty Energy Index and the Infrastructure Index have rolled inside the leading quadrant. Along with this, the Nifty Financial Services, PSE, Nifty Bank, PSU Bank, and the Nifty Metal Index are also inside the leading quadrant. This group is expected to collectively outperform the broader Nifty 500 index. </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128881796" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128881796" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128881796/milan-vaishnav-chart-3.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
</div>
<p>The Nifty Services Sector Index has rolled inside the weakening quadrant. The Midcap 100, Auto, and IT Indices are also within this quadrant. These groups may see individual stock-specific moves; however, relative performance may slow. </p>
<p>While the Nifty Realty Index continues to languish inside the lagging quadrant, the FMCG Index is showing mild improvement in its relative momentum against the broader market while staying inside the lagging quadrant. </p>
<p>The Nifty Pharma Index has rolled back inside the improving quadrant. The Nifty Media Index is also inside the improving quadrant.</p>
<p>Important Note: RRG<img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2122.png" alt="™" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals. </p>
<p><i>(The author Milan Vaishnav CMT, MSTA is Consulting Technical Analyst)</i></p>
<p><i>(<strong>Disclaimer</strong>: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)</i></p>
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		<title>Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty braces for fresh breakout after US Supreme Court verdict boost</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/dalal-street-week-ahead-nifty-braces-for-fresh-breakout-after-us-supreme-court-verdict-boost/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[LSD News Szerkesztőség]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2026 17:00:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Braces]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Breakout]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[The Nifty traded in a relatively contained range through the week, oscillating within defined boundaries before ending modestly higher. The index moved between 25,372.70 and 25,885.30, reflecting a largely consolidative undertone despite intraday swings. Volatility spiked; India VIX rose by 8.05% to 14.36, indicating increase in hedging activity and expectation of near-term volatility. The Nifty [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="21">The Nifty traded in a relatively contained range through the week, oscillating within defined boundaries before ending modestly higher. The index moved between 25,372.70 and 25,885.30, reflecting a largely consolidative undertone despite intraday swings. Volatility spiked; India VIX rose by 8.05% to 14.36, indicating increase in hedging activity and expectation of near-term volatility. The Nifty eventually closed the week with a gain of 100.15 points (+0.39%).</p>
<p>From a structural standpoint, the index continues to consolidate just below a crucial resistance band while maintaining its broader uptrend. Prices are hovering around the 20-week moving average (25,761) and remain well above the rising 50-week (24,991) and 100-week (24,394) averages, keeping the long-term structure intact. However, the index is currently trapped within a broad consolidation zone, and directional conviction remains absent. A decisive close above 26,250 is necessary to confirm a fresh trending upmove and open the path toward higher levels. Until that happens, rallies are likely to remain capped, resulting in range-bound behaviour. On the downside, sustained trade below 25,000 would weaken the short-term setup and invite incremental pressure.</p>
<p></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128644508" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="D-St Week Ahead" alt="D-St Week Ahead" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128644508" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128644508/d-st-week-ahead.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>Given the US Supreme Court’s verdict, markets are likely to see a gap-up opening at the start of the week. However, follow-through will be critical. Immediate resistance levels are placed at 26,000 and 26,250, while supports are seen at 25,400 and 25,00. The weekly RSI stands at 51.50, remaining neutral and showing no divergence against price. The MACD remains below its signal line on the weekly timeframe, with the histogram still in negative territory, suggesting that momentum has yet to turn convincingly positive. The latest candle reflects indecision near resistance, reinforcing the ongoing consolidation phase.Pattern analysis of the weekly chart indicates that the index is attempting to stabilise after retracing from its prior highs. The formation resembles a broad trading range with a mild upward bias, but without a breakout confirmation. The price continues to respect the rising long-term moving averages, which act as dynamic support. The narrowing Bollinger Bands also reflect contracting volatility, often a precursor to an eventual expansion move; however, a directional trigger is still awaited.</p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128644612" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="D-St week ahead 1" alt="D-St week ahead 1" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128644612" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128644612/d-st-week-ahead-1.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<div class="imgBox"><img decoding="async" alt="ET logo" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/118783427.cms" width="90%" title="Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty braces for fresh breakout after US Supreme Court verdict boost 8"></div>
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<p>Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty Financial Services, PSE, Banknifty, PSU Bank, Services Sector, and the Metal Indices are inside the leading quadrant. While Services Sector may be losing some relative strength, these groups will collectively outperform the broader markets on relative basis. </p>
<p>The Nifty IT Index has rolled inside the weakening quadrant. Individually, it may experience a rebound given the recent selling but the relative performance may take a backseat. The Infrastructure and the Auto Index are also inside the weakening quadrant. </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128644678" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="D-Street Week Ahead" alt="D-Street Week Ahead" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128644678" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128644678/d-street-week-ahead.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>The Nifty FMCG, Pharma, and the Realty groups are inside the lagging quadrant. They may relatively underperform the broader Nifty 500 index. </p>
<p>The Nifty Media and the Energy Indices are seen rotating firmly inside the improving quadrant. These groups may continue to improve their relative momentum against the broader markets. </p>
<p><em>Important Note: RRGTM charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.</em></p>
<p>Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA, is a Consulting Technical Analyst and founder of EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae and is based in Vadodara. He can be reached at milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia</p>
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		<title>Nifty holds uptrend after volatile week but faces consolidation near highs</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/nifty-holds-uptrend-after-volatile-week-but-faces-consolidation-near-highs/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[LSD News Szerkesztőség]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Feb 2026 15:56:25 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consolidation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[faces]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[highs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[holds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[india vix trend]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[indian equities outlook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indian stock market analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market consolidation India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nifty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nifty support resistance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nifty technical view]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nifty weekly outlook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[quadrant]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[relative rotation graph]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sector rotation analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock-specific strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uptrend]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://lsd.hu/nifty-holds-uptrend-after-volatile-week-but-faces-consolidation-near-highs/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In a 6-day trading week, the Nifty traded with heightened volatility throughout the week and ended with gains. The week was marked by sharp swings as markets first reacted nervously to the Union Budget announced on Sunday, followed by a strong positive response to the India–US deal that led to a gap-up move. As a [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="38">In a 6-day trading week, the Nifty traded with heightened volatility throughout the week and ended with gains. The week was marked by sharp swings as markets first reacted nervously to the Union Budget announced on Sunday, followed by a strong positive response to the India–US deal that led to a gap-up move. </p>
<p>As a result, the index oscillated in a wide intra-week range of 1661.80 points before settling higher. India VIX cooled off meaningfully over the week, declining by about 12%, reflecting easing volatility after the event-heavy phase. </p>
<p>On a weekly basis, the Nifty posted a gain of 373 points. Structurally, the broader trend of the market remains positive, though the index is currently navigating a consolidation phase after a strong up-move. </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128031431" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128031431" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128031431/milan-vaishnav-chart.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>On the weekly chart, Nifty continues to hold above its key medium-term moving averages, but recent price action shows hesitation near the upper end of the rising channel. The index is dealing with a supply zone around the recent highs, where selling pressure has emerged repeatedly. </p>
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<div class="imgBox"><img decoding="async" alt="ET logo" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/118783427.cms" width="90%" title="Nifty holds uptrend after volatile week but faces consolidation near highs 10"></div>
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<p>While the primary trend is still up, a sustained move above the recent swing high would be required to reassert momentum on the upside, whereas a decisive break below the lower end of the recent consolidation band could trigger a deeper corrective move. For the coming week, the markets may see a positive start after the volatile but event driven week gone by. </p>
<p>Immediate resistance for the Nifty is placed around 26,000, followed by a stronger hurdle near 26,300. On the downside, supports are seen at 25,400, with the next important support placed near 24,850, which also coincides with key moving average support.</p>
<p>Momentum indicators present a neutral-to-slightly-positive picture. The weekly RSI is placed near 53, staying in the neutral zone and not indicating any bullish or bearish divergence against price. </p>
<p>The weekly MACD remains below its signal line, but the histogram has started to narrow, suggesting a loss of downside momentum. On the candlestick front, the week has resulted in a relatively long-range candle, highlighting volatility and indecision near higher levels rather than outright strength. </p>
<p>From a pattern perspective, the weekly chart shows Nifty closing above the falling trendline support. The recent pullback from the highs does not damage the larger trend, as the index continues to trade comfortably above its 50-week and 100-week moving averages. This setup suggests that the long-term trend is intact, but short-term consolidation cannot be ruled out. </p>
<p>Given the current setup, traders and investors should adopt a balanced and selective approach in the coming week. Aggressive long positions may be avoided until the index shows a clear breakout above resistance, while existing positions should be managed with disciplined trailing stops to protect gains. Fresh opportunities are likely to remain stock-specific rather than index-led. </p>
<p>Overall, the focus for the week ahead should be on prudent risk management, selective participation, and closely tracking how the index behaves around the identified support and resistance zones. </p>
<p><i>In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks.</i></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128031417" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128031417" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128031417/milan-vaishnav-chart-2.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty Financial Services, IT, Banknifty, Services Sector, Metal, and the PSU Bank Indices are inside the leading quadrant of the RRG. While some relative momentum is being lost on the PSU Banks, these groups will continue to relatively outperform the broader markets. </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="128031410" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="128031410" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-128031410/milan-vaishnav-chart-3.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>The Nifty Midcap 100 Index has rolled inside the weakening quadrant. This may see a slowdown in the Midcap Index’s relative performance. Along with this, the Nifty Auto and the Infrastructure Indices are also inside the weakening quadrant. </p>
<p>The Nifty Realty and the FMCG Indices languish inside the lagging quadrant with the Realty Index showing a slight improvement in its relative momentum. The Energy Index has rolled inside the improving quadrant. Besides this, the Media Index is also inside the improving quadrant. </p>
<p><i>Important Note: RRG<img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2122.png" alt="™" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals. </i></p>
<p><i>(The author Milan Vaishnav is CMT, MSTA Consulting Technical Analyst)</i></p>
<p><i>(<strong>Disclaimer</strong>: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)</i></p>
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		<title>Dalal Street Week Ahead: Volatility to stay elevated, traders urged to stay nimble</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/dalal-street-week-ahead-volatility-to-stay-elevated-traders-urged-to-stay-nimble/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[LSD News Szerkesztőség]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Jan 2026 20:54:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dalal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dalal street]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dalal street week ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[elevated]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India VIX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nifty]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[The markets witnessed a corrective move in a volatile week while ending lower. Nifty trended lower throughout the week and ended on a negative note. The index oscillated in a wide intra-week range of 733 points as it moved between 25,653 and 24,919. India VIX surged sharply by 24.80% to 14.19, indicating a sudden spike [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="28">The markets witnessed a corrective move in a volatile week while ending lower. Nifty trended lower throughout the week and ended on a negative note. The index oscillated in a wide intra-week range of 733 points as it moved between 25,653 and 24,919. India VIX surged sharply by 24.80% to 14.19, indicating a sudden spike in risk perception and uncertainty. Nifty ended the week with a net loss of 645.70 points or -2.51%.</p>
<p>The current technical structure of Nifty reflects a significant breakdown. After failing to confirm a breakout, the Index has slipped below the trendline that was drawn from the high formed in September 2024. It has also slipped below the short-term 20-week moving average and now hovers near the lower Bollinger Band. The lower Bollinger band also aligns with the 50-week MA placed at 24758.</p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="127391332" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Screenshot 2026-01-24 165533" alt="Screenshot 2026-01-24 165533" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="127391332" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-127391332/screenshot-2026-01-24-165533.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">Agencies</span></figure>
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<p>The region of 25,000–25,150, which includes the 200-DMA on the daily chart and a key support, is being tested. If this zone is violated convincingly, it may trigger a deeper corrective move. Conversely, any bounce would remain vulnerable unless the index reclaims the 25,650 levels.<br />Given the steep correction and a mildly oversold setup on the daily chart, the coming week, shortened by the Republic Day holiday on Monday, may see a tentative start with a possible technical rebound.However, volatility is expected to stay elevated as Tuesday also marks the monthly F&amp;O expiry. Overall, as the markets would open after a gap of one day, they would also adjust to the prevailing global trade setup.</p>
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<p>Immediate resistance levels are placed at 25,320 and 25,650, while supports exist at 25,000 and 24,800.The weekly RSI stands at 44.47 and remains in a neutral zone; however, it has marked a new 14-period low along with price, indicating no divergence. The weekly MACD is bearish and is below its signal line, reinforcing bearish momentum. A long black candle has emerged on the weekly chart, signifying strong selling pressure and a breakdown from the prior consolidation.</p>
<p>Pattern-wise, Nifty has broken below the falling trendline, which typically has bearish implications. This breakdown is significant as it came with a wide-range candle and a close below 20-week MA. The next visible support lies around the 50-week MA near 24,758.</p>
<p>For the week ahead, a cautious and stock-specific approach is advised. While short-term oversold conditions may fuel a bounce, the broader structure has weakened. Traders should avoid aggressive longs and focus on protecting profits. Any upside should be used to lighten positions or initiate low-risk short opportunities if resistance levels hold.</p>
<p>The method of approaching the coming week would be to stay highly selective, manage risk tightly, and keep exposure light ahead of the expiry volatility.</p>
<p>In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks.</p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="127391361" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Screenshot 2026-01-24 165549" alt="Screenshot 2026-01-24 165549" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="127391361" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-127391361/screenshot-2026-01-24-165549.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">Bloomberg</span></figure>
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<div data-align="" data-msid="127391382" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Screenshot 2026-01-24 165604" alt="Screenshot 2026-01-24 165604" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="127391382" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-127391382/screenshot-2026-01-24-165604.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">Bloomberg</span></figure>
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<p>Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show the Nifty IT Index continues to rotate strongly inside the leading quadrant. Along with this, the Financial Services Index, Midcap 100, PSU Bank Index, Banknifty, Metal, and Services Sector Indices are also inside the leading quadrant.</p>
<p>Metal and IT look strong on relative terms, but overall, this group may relatively outperform the broader markets. The Infrastructure Index has rolled inside the weakening quadrant. The Nifty Auto Index is also positioned inside the weakening quadrant.</p>
<p>The Nifty Energy, Realty, and FMCG Indices languish inside the lagging quadrant. These groups may relatively underperform the broader markets.<br />The Pharma Index has taken a U-turn and has rolled back inside the improving quadrant from the leading quadrant following loss of relative momentum.</p>
<p>Important Note: RRGTM chartsshow the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.</p>
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		<title>Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty tests key support levels as volatility rises</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/dalal-street-week-ahead-nifty-tests-key-support-levels-as-volatility-rises/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[LSD News Szerkesztőség]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Jan 2026 01:46:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dalal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dalal street]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[key]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[market support levels]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[The markets saw a decisive breakdown from the 500-point trading range (26,200- 25,700) after a period of consolidation, ending the week on a negative note. Throughout the week, Nifty traded with a clear downward bias, oscillating within a range of 750 points between 26,373 and 25,623. It was the only major global equity index to [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="30">The markets saw a decisive breakdown from the 500-point trading range (26,200- 25,700) after a period of consolidation, ending the week on a negative note. Throughout the week, Nifty traded with a clear downward bias, oscillating within a range of 750 points between 26,373 and 25,623. It was the only major global equity index to end in the red, weighed down by rising uncertainty around US trade tariffs and a deferred Supreme Court decision, now expected on January 14. </p>
<p>India VIX spiked 16.51% for the week to 10.93, reflecting heightened caution. As a result, Nifty ended the week with a loss of 645.25 points or -2.45%. </p>
<p>The current technical structure signals a potential pause in the prevailing uptrend as the index has closed below the lower edge of the 500-point trading range. The close below the 20-week moving average (25,579) would end up in some incremental weakness. Markets remain vulnerable to further pressure, especially amid a combination of domestic consolidation and global risk events. A breach below the current support region could deepen the corrective move, while a bounce back above 25,850–25,900 would be essential to regain strength. </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="126452241" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="126452241" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-126452241/milan-vaishnav-chart.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>The coming week may open on a tentative note, likely influenced by further developments from the US. Initial resistance is expected at 25,900 and then 26,100, while immediate support lies at 25,500, followed by a more crucial zone near 25,300. A failure to defend 25,300 could attract incremental weakness.</p>
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<p>The weekly RSI stands at 53.16 and has marked a fresh 14-period low; it remains neutral without any divergence against price. However, its flattening near the midline suggests waning momentum. The MACD has shown a bearish crossover with the MACD line now below its signal line, accompanied by a widening negative histogram, reinforcing signs of a developing downside. No strong candlestick reversal pattern was observed on the weekly timeframe, but the long black candle indicates negative sentiment. </p>
<p>From a pattern analysis perspective, the Nifty is still above the falling trendline that it penetrated. The support on this trendline would translate into the Nifty testing the 25,500-25,300 zone. The index also failed to hold above the upper Bollinger Band in recent weeks and is now testing the median line, further suggesting that upward momentum has faded. Despite the broader trend still being intact, the index has now come under short-term pressure if it slips below its 20-week average.</p>
<p>Given the current setup, traders would do well to adopt a measured and stock-specific approach. Aggressive index positioning should be avoided until clarity emerges either through reclaiming resistance zones or external event resolution. For now, it is prudent to protect gains, trail stop losses where applicable, and remain selective in fresh buying. The week ahead should be navigated with heightened caution and an adaptive, reactive strategy rather than a predictive one. </p>
<p><em>In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks.</em></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="126452230" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="126452230" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-126452230/milan-vaishnav-chart-2.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty Services Sector and Pharma Indices have rolled inside the leading quadrant. These groups, along with Infrastructure, Banknifty, PSU Bank, IT, Midcap 100, and Financial Services groups, which are also in the leading quadrant, will relatively outperform the broader Nifty 500 Index. </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="126452224" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="126452224" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-126452224/milan-vaishnav-chart-3.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
</div>
<p>Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty Services Sector and Pharma Indices have rolled inside the leading quadrant. These groups, along with Infrastructure, Banknifty, PSU Bank, IT, Midcap 100, and Financial Services groups, which are also in the leading quadrant, will relatively outperform the broader Nifty 500 Index. </p>
<p>The Nifty Metal and Auto Indices are inside the weakening quadrant. However, they are seen as sharply improving on their relative momentum against the broader markets. </p>
<p>Nifty FMCG, Energy, and Realty Indices are inside the lagging quadrant. These groups may relatively underperform the broader markets. The PSE and the Media Indices are also inside the lagging quadrant. However, they are showing a strong improvement in their relative momentum. </p>
<p>There are no sectors presently inside the improving quadrant.</p>
<p>(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)</p>
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		<title>Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty enters consolidation phase; breakout above 26,100 key for next market move</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/dalal-street-week-ahead-nifty-enters-consolidation-phase-breakout-above-26100-key-for-next-market-move/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Dec 2025 17:58:27 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://lsd.hu/dalal-street-week-ahead-nifty-enters-consolidation-phase-breakout-above-26100-key-for-next-market-move/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The markets consolidated through the previous week and ended on a mildly negative note. Nifty remained within a defined trading range of 25,700 to 26,100, lacking any directional breakout. The week was marked by low volatility, with the India VIX declining 5.70% to 9.52, near its multi-year lows, highlighting continued complacency in the system. On [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="26">The markets consolidated through the previous week and ended on a mildly negative note. Nifty remained within a defined trading range of 25,700 to 26,100, lacking any directional breakout. The week was marked by low volatility, with the India VIX declining 5.70% to 9.52, near its multi-year lows, highlighting continued complacency in the system. On a weekly basis, the Nifty declined by 80.55 points or 0.31%, signalling a pause after a strong preceding uptrend.</p>
<p>The Nifty currently finds itself in a sideways consolidation, navigating within a narrow 400-point band. It continues to trade above key moving averages, but the absence of follow-through buying near the upper edge of the range suggests temporary fatigue. Importantly, the 25,700–25,850 zone has emerged as a critical near-term support, not only because it marks the lower end of the current consolidation but also because it aligns with the 50-DMA. The trend still remains broadly positive, but a sustained move above 26,100 is now essential to reignite upward momentum. A breakdown below 25,700 may trigger mild profit-taking and broaden the range lower.</p>
<p></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="126092917" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="126092917" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-126092917/milan-vaishnav-chart.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>Given the lack of a decisive move in either direction, markets may see a muted start to the truncated week ahead, particularly with the Christmas holiday on Thursday, which will lead to lower participation. On the upside, resistance is expected at 26,100 and then at 26,250. Supports come in at 25,850 and 25,700, both structurally important in the current context.The weekly RSI stands at 59.92 and remains neutral without showing any divergence against price, suggesting ongoing range-bound behaviour. The MACD remains above the signal line on the weekly chart, though the histogram is flattening, indicating a loss of momentum. No significant candlestick formation was observed during the week, highlighting indecision.</p>
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<p>From a pattern analysis perspective, Nifty is seen consolidating just above the upper trendline of a broad symmetrical triangle it broke out from earlier. While the breakout still holds, the index is testing its breakout zone. Price action continues to respect the rising short- and medium-term moving averages, with the 50-week MA at 24,518 and the 100-week MA at 24,067 offering deeper structural support. The Bollinger Bands are beginning to narrow, often a precursor to a range expansion move in the coming weeks.</p>
<p>Given the current context, participants are advised to adopt a stock-specific approach while keeping a cautious stance on aggressive index bets until the range of 25,700– 26,100 is resolved. Protection of profits should take precedence, especially in the absence of any major triggers and a low volatility environment. Until a directional breakout occurs, the method to approach the coming week would be to stay selective, maintain tight stop losses, and avoid chasing momentum near resistance levels.</p>
<p><i>In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks.</i><br /><i><br /></i><i></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="126092929" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="126092929" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-126092929/milan-vaishnav-chart-2.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p></i><br />Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty Bank Index, Infrastructure, PSU Bank, Financial Services, and the Midcap 100 Indices are inside the leading quadrant. A few of them are seen evidently slowing down on their relative momentum. However, collectively, these groups may relatively outperform the broader markets.</p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="126092936" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="126092936" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-126092936/milan-vaishnav-chart-3.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
</div>
<p>The Nifty Auto Index is inside the weakening quadrant but is seen mildly improving its relative momentum. The Metal Index is also inside the weakening quadrant.<i/></p>
<p>The Commodities Index has rolled inside the lagging quadrant. The Media, PSE, Consumption, FMCG, and Energy Indices are also inside the lagging quadrant and may relatively underperform the broader markets. Energy, however, is seen modestly improving its relative momentum. </p>
<p>The IT and Nifty Services Sector is inside the improving quadrant and are rotating positively. The Realty Sector is also in this quadrant, but is seen giving up on its relative momentum against the broader markets. </p>
<p>Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA, is a Consulting Technical Analyst and founder of EquityResearch.asia and ChartWizard.ae and is based in Vadodara. He can be reached at milan.vaishnav@equityresearch.asia</p>
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		<title>Dalal Street Week Ahead: Nifty seen consolidating further before next directional move</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/dalal-street-week-ahead-nifty-seen-consolidating-further-before-next-directional-move/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Dec 2025 17:21:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ahead]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consolidating]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dalal]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://lsd.hu/dalal-street-week-ahead-nifty-seen-consolidating-further-before-next-directional-move/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The markets saw a week of mild corrective movement as Nifty traded in a slightly downward-biased consolidation phase and ended the week on a negative note. The index oscillated in a 485-point range, between 26,178.70 and 25,693.25. Despite a supportive backdrop from the Fed with a 0.25% rate cut, and breadth deterioration pausing, the index [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="24">The markets saw a week of mild corrective movement as Nifty traded in a slightly downward-biased consolidation phase and ended the week on a negative note. The index oscillated in a 485-point range, between 26,178.70 and 25,693.25. </p>
<p>Despite a supportive backdrop from the Fed with a 0.25% rate cut, and breadth deterioration pausing, the index faced resistance near recent highs. India VIX declined by -2.01% to 10.11, reflecting continued complacency and low hedging demand. Nifty ended the week with a mild loss of 139.50 points or -0.53%.</p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="125949001" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="125949001" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-125949001/milan-vaishnav-chart.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
</div>
<p>The broader structure of the Nifty remains bullish, yet the index is navigating a key inflection zone. It continues to hover above the falling trendline, encountering resistance near 26,150–26,200. The ongoing price action reflects hesitation in decisively clearing this resistance. </p>
<p>The absence of clear catalysts, such as the unresolved US-India trade deal, adds to the inertia. That said, the Fed&#8217;s dovish stance could provide medium-term tailwinds, but for now, the index appears to be in a technical pause within an established uptrend. A decisive move above 26,200 will be needed to confirm a fresh breakout and extend the trend.</p>
<p>Given the current setup, the coming week may see a cautious-to-flat start. Initial resistance lies at 26,200 and 26,300, followed by a stronger barrier near 26,550, the upper Bollinger band. On the downside, immediate support is at 25,750, followed by the 25,600 zone.</p>
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<p>The weekly RSI is at 61.34; it remains in the bullish zone and shows no divergence against price, indicating a neutral momentum bias. The MACD is above its signal line and continues to maintain a positive crossover. The latest candle is a small-bodied bearish candle with a moderately longer lower shadow near resistance, hinting at indecision or short-term exhaustion.</p>
<p>From a pattern perspective, Nifty remains above the symmetrical triangle that it has broken out of. The Index is seeing a little loss of strength while it consolidates above its breakout point and just below its high point. While such loss of strength and consolidation near resistance traditionally carries bearish implications, its upper boundary is being tested repeatedly, which also reflects strength. The index trades well above all key moving averages (20, 50, 100, 200-week), indicating that the larger trend remains intact and upward, but a clean breakout above the wedge is still awaited.</p>
<p>In light of the technical and macro setup, traders should remain moderately cautious. It is advisable to protect profits at higher levels and avoid aggressive long exposures until a breakout above 26,200–26,300 is confirmed. A stock-specific approach, with an emphasis on relative strength and risk management, is preferred. The method to approach the coming week should be defensive, selective, and responsive to any breakout confirmation.</p>
<p>In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks.  </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="125949014" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="125949014" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-125949014/milan-vaishnav-chart-2.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
</div>
<div data-align="" data-msid="125949018" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="125949018" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-125949018/milan-vaishnav-chart-3.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
</div>
<p>Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show that the Nifty Financial Services and the Midcap 100 Indices have rolled inside the leading quadrant. The Nifty Bank, Infrastructure, and PSU Bank Indices are also inside the leading quadrant. These groups are set to outperform the broader markets relatively.<br />The Nifty Metal and Auto Indices are inside the weakening quadrant. While stock-specific performance from these sectors cannot be ruled out, their relative performance may slow down a bit.</p>
<p>The Nifty PSE, Commodities, and Energy Indices have rolled back inside the lagging quadrant. Along with them, the Media, Consumption, and FMCG are also placed inside this quadrant. They are expected to relatively underperform the broader markets.</p>
<p>The Realty, IT, and Services Sector Indices are inside the improving quadrant.<br /><strong><br />Important Note: </strong>RRGTM charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.</p>
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		<title>Nifty stays flat as resistance holds; cautious optimism likely for coming week</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/nifty-stays-flat-as-resistance-holds-cautious-optimism-likely-for-coming-week/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Dec 2025 22:49:54 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://lsd.hu/nifty-stays-flat-as-resistance-holds-cautious-optimism-likely-for-coming-week/</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The markets largely traded in a range-bound manner over the past week, with the Nifty ending the week on a flat to mildly negative note. Despite a key interest rate cut of 25 bps by the RBI in its monetary policy, the index remained muted on a weekly basis and showed no major directional bias. [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="35">The markets largely traded in a range-bound manner over the past week, with the Nifty ending the week on a flat to mildly negative note. Despite a key interest rate cut of 25 bps by the RBI in its monetary policy, the index remained muted on a weekly basis and showed no major directional bias.</p>
<p>The Nifty oscillated in a narrow intra-week range of 434.8 points, moving between 25,891 and 26,325.80. Meanwhile, India VIX declined sharply by 11.21% on a weekly basis to close at 10.31, reflecting a continued phase of low volatility. For the week, the Nifty ended with a negligible loss of 16.50 points or 0.06%.</p>
<p>The current structure of the Nifty suggests that while the headline index remains in a primary uptrend, it is facing stiff resistance at higher levels.</p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="125804496" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="125804496" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-125804496/milan-vaishnav-chart.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>Price action continues to hover just above the breakout zone of a falling trendline that was breached a few weeks ago. This zone, now acting as support, is located between 25,900 and 26,000. Despite the bullish structure, the lack of participation from broader markets (Nifty 500 yet to reclaim previous highs) and weakening market breadth indicate underlying caution. A sustained move above 26,325 with breadth improvement could reinstate momentum, while a failure to hold above 25,900 may invite incremental weakness or consolidation.</p>
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<p>Given the flat close this week, the markets may see a quiet to modestly positive start in the coming week. Resistance is likely at 26,300 and 26,450 levels, while supports come in at 25,900 and 25,750. The global overhang from the Putin-India meeting and the delayed US-India trade deal may keep sentiment headline-sensitive.</p>
<p>The weekly RSI stands at 63.78 and remains neutral; it shows no divergence against the price. The MACD remains in a buy mode as it trades above its signal line. On the candle front, the index has formed a small-bodied candle with a long lower shadow, resembling a hammer-like formation; this reflects buying at lower levels but indecision at the top.</p>
<p>From a pattern perspective, the Nifty continues to trade above the breakout zone of the falling trendline drawn from the September 2024 highs. This breakout is structurally bullish, but the index has yet to post a decisive breakout from the symmetrical triangle that has capped gains since September 2024. Price is also comfortably above key moving averages, including the 50-, 100-, and 200-week SMA, reaffirming the bullish undertone. The Bollinger Bands are expanding, but with price hugging the upper band, this also warrants caution for potential mean-reversion if upward momentum doesn&#8217;t follow through.</p>
<p>In the coming week, market participants should adopt a selectively bullish but cautious stance. While the larger trend remains upward, it would be prudent to protect profits at higher levels. Fresh buying should be undertaken only in good-quality and technically resilient stocks. A stock-specific approach with a focus on sectors showing relative strength is advisable. The method to approach the week should be one of guarded optimism — respecting the trend, but with disciplined stop-losses and a close watch on any breakout or breakdown from the prevailing range.</p>
<p><em>In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against the CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), representing over 95% of the free-float market cap of all the listed stocks. </em></p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="125804504" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 2" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="125804504" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-125804504/milan-vaishnav-chart-2.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
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<p>Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show the Nifty PSU Bank, Metal, Bank Nifty, and Infrastructure Indices inside the leading quadrant, with the Metal Index giving up sharply on its relative momentum. However, these groups are likely to continue to outperform the broader Nifty 500 Index.</p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="125804512" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" alt="Milan Vaishnav chart 3" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="125804512" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-125804512/milan-vaishnav-chart-3.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">ETMarkets.com</span></figure>
</div>
<p>The Nifty Midcap 100 is the only Index inside the weakening quadrant; that too is seen deteriorating its relative momentum against the broader markets. This can negatively impact the overall market breadth.</p>
<p>The Nifty Pharma, Media, FMCG, Consumption, and Commodities Indices are also languishing in the lagging quadrant and are likely to underperform the broader markets relatively.</p>
<p>While the Financial Services and the Services Sector Index rotate inside the Improving quadrant, the IT, Energy, PSE, and the Realty Indices are seen paring their relative momentum when benchmarked against the broader markets while staying in the same quadrant.</p>
<p><em>Important Note: RRG<img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/17.0.2/72x72/2122.png" alt="™" class="wp-smiley" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;" /> charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals. </em></p>
<p><em>(Milan Vaishnav is CMT, MSTA Consulting Technical Analyst. Views are own)</em></p>
<p><em>(<strong>Disclaimer</strong>: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)</em></p>
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