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		<title>Three niche commodity prices are surging. What they show about China&#8217;s grip on supply chains</title>
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					<description><![CDATA[Almonty&#8217;s tungsten mine in Sangdong, South Korea, in March 2026. Almonty BEIJING — The Iran war is squeezing a global commodities market already pressured by China&#8217;s export controls and stockpiling efforts. Prices of three niche elements — tungsten, sulfur and helium — have climbed sharply in recent weeks. While none of the commodities are traded [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>Almonty&#8217;s tungsten mine in Sangdong, South Korea, in March 2026.</p>
<p>Almonty</p>
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<p>BEIJING — The Iran war is squeezing a global commodities market already pressured by China&#8217;s export controls and stockpiling efforts.</p>
<p>Prices of three niche elements — tungsten, sulfur and helium — have climbed sharply in recent weeks. </p>
<p>While none of the commodities are traded as widely as oil, the surge indicates how ripple effects from the Middle East conflict could end up restricting production of the semiconductors that power artificial intelligence advances.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.tungstenringsco.com/blog/2023/06/tungsten-vs-diamond/#:~:text=Tungsten%20and%20diamond%20are%20two,falls%20between%207.5%20and%209.0." target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tungsten, a metal nearly as hard as a diamond</a>, creates the <a href="https://www.semiconductors.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/FINAL-SIA-Comments-USTR-Critical-Minerals-RFI.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">electrical connection in the core</a> of a semiconductor chip. <a href="https://www.basf.com/cn/en/media/news-releases/global/2025/04/cn-25-044" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sulfuric acid</a>, a <a href="https://www.britannica.com/technology/chemical-industry/Sulfuric-acid" target="_blank" rel="noopener">byproduct of sulfur</a>, cleans <a href="https://www.semiconductors.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Overview-Of-The-Semi-Industry-And-Its-Approach-To-Chem-Mgmt-and-EHS.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">chip wafers</a>. Helium enables smooth production of semiconductors since the gas <a href="https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/fossil-fuels/helium-is-instrumental-in-semiconductor-manufacturing/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">prevents unwanted chemical reactions</a> in the manufacturing process. </p>
<p>Those are just some of the ways in which the three elements have become critical for modern manufacturing, including for defense.</p>
<p>Beijing started to ramp up its control over the critical supplies even before the Iran war started on Feb. 28, partly as tensions with the U.S. escalated over the last few years. </p>
<p>China <a href="https://www.iea.org/policies/26795-decision-to-implement-export-controls-on-tungsten-tellurium-bismuth-molybdenum-and-indium-related-items" target="_blank" rel="noopener">started</a> <a href="https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/zwgk/zcfb/art/2025/art_e623090907fc4e1092f0a4db72f57b95.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">restricting tungsten exports</a> just over a year ago, and in December called for <a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0w_uHXCurk5XzeYAyHP7Tg" target="_blank" rel="noopener">tighter limits on sulfuric acid exports.</a> Helium, a gas that&#8217;s difficult to store, saw the volume of Chinese imports rise by 15.7% in 2025, after a nearly 65% surge in 2024, according to Wind Information. </p>
<p>The Iran war and the ensuing constraints on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical Middle East shipping route for energy and chemicals, has tipped some oversupply situations into undersupply, while exacerbating existing shortages.</p>
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<p>Prices of the three commodities have jumped in some cases by more than oil. The widely used fossil fuel has climbed by more than 50% in March, putting Brent on track for a record month.</p>
<p>&#8220;While the Chinese supply chain is being viewed as more resilient than many peers, the risk of disruption in chemicals as raw materials for manufacturers in selected segments is higher than expected based on the feedback,&#8221; <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-12">Goldman Sachs<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> analysts said in a report late last week, citing nearly 40 commodity-related meetings and site visits in China.</p>
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<h2 class="ArticleBody-subtitle"><a id="headline0"/>Tungsten</h2>
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<p>Tungsten hit a record high of over $3,000 late last week, marking a surge of well over 50% for the month and more than tripling in price since late December. That&#8217;s based on the industry benchmark called &#8220;ammonium para tungstate (APT)&#8221; in metric ton units, or MTU, from Fastmarket, as quoted by tungsten miner <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-13">Almonty<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span>.</p>
<p>Almonty officially reopened a large tungsten mine in Sangdong, South Korea, earlier this month, and plans to start producing some tungsten this year at a project in the U.S. state of Montana. </p>
<p>The company&#8217;s CEO Lewis Black told CNBC that defense sector demand for tungsten has been &#8220;extremely strong&#8221; since the beginning of last year, but that there&#8217;s been no notable change despite the Iran war.</p>
<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s no material to stockpile. That&#8217;s probably the biggest change,&#8221; he said.</p>
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<h2 class="ArticleBody-subtitle"><a id="headline1"/>Sulfur</h2>
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<p>The price of sulfuric acid in Africa is now at least 30% higher than it was prior to the war, and is still rising, the Goldman Sachs analysts said, citing a local Chinese miner in Africa. </p>
<p>Other assessments point to a milder rise in prices.</p>
<p>China sulfur prices, including cost and freight, climbed by about 13% from early March to $621 per tonne as of March 26, according to S&amp;P Global Platts.</p>
<p>&#8220;A 2-3 month effective blockade would likely become a severe supply shock, especially as freight/insurance stay elevated and Middle East-origin cargoes become harder to execute,&#8221; Pan Yuya, lead analyst for sulfur and phosphate raw materials at S&amp;P Global Energy, and Isaac Zhao, senior principal analyst, China fertilizers at S&amp;P Global Energy, said in a March 20 note.</p>
<p>The S&amp;P analysts said that around 56% of China&#8217;s sulfur imports came from the Middle East in 2025.</p>
<p>&#8220;Even prior to the Middle East conflict, sulfur prices were rising sharply as the market tightened. With sulfur prices now at fresh record highs, the &#8216;super squeeze&#8217; in this rather obscure commodity in supply warrants further examination,&#8221; HSBC analysts said in a March 16 report.</p>
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<h2 class="ArticleBody-subtitle"><a id="headline2"/>Helium</h2>
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<p>Helium prices have roughly doubled since the Iran war began, according to Fitch Ratings. </p>
<p>As most trading occurs through long-term private contracts between industrial gas suppliers and manufacturers, it is difficult to pinpoint industry-wide prices, said Shelley Jang, Fitch&#8217;s director of Asia-Pacific corporate ratings.</p>
<p>Iranian missile attacks this month crippled a key industrial center in Qatar, which produces about one-third of the world&#8217;s helium. </p>
<p>That implies helium supply won&#8217;t be restored anytime soon, pointed out Christopher Ecclestone, principal and mining strategist at Hallgarten &amp; Company.</p>
<p>In one indication of further market tightness, prices of helium in China&#8217;s Henan province have reversed a downturn this year to climb from a Feb. 28 low of 545 yuan ($78.85) a bottle to 600 yuan ($86.81), according to Wind Information. <strong> </strong></p>
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<p>Shortages caused by the Iran war are the latest supply chain disruption to rock global markets, which faced similar shocks from Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 and the Covid-19 pandemic. That&#8217;s pushed companies to diversify, and countries such as China to ramp up stockpiling plans.</p>
<p>&#8220;Access to supplies of certain physical materials where production and processing is concentrated in China <a href="https://rhg.com/research/minerals-metals-and-megawatts-how-chinas-power-generation-drives-its-industrial-metals-ecosystem/?" target="_blank" rel="noopener">will become more frequent topics</a> of negotiations with Beijing,&#8221; Rhodium Group said in a March 24 report.</p>
<p>Limited price transparency also means the shortage could be worse than available numbers suggest.</p>
<p>Tungsten and helium prices have been surging, &#8220;but you don&#8217;t have anyone on the buy side saying, &#8216;oh my goodness, we don&#8217;t have enough product,'&#8221;  Ecclestone said. &#8220;Defense contractors should have warehouses of tungsten, but they don&#8217;t.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;The world has got lazy. It thinks life is like a supermarket, the product is a pack of cornflakes or a few tons of sulfuric acid,&#8221; he said. &#8220;The supermarket of commodities has had a few of the aisles chopped down.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Why a niche category of CRE lending is suddenly seeing record deals</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Jan 2026 08:53:14 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Wepro &#124; Moment &#124; Getty Images A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p><em>A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. </em><em>Sign up</em><em> to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.</em></p>
<p>A specific kind of loan that helps owners of commercial buildings pay for big upgrades to save energy or water, add renewable power, or improve resilience is seeing huge growth in a lending environment that has been arguably tough.</p>
<p>This month, Nuveen closed a $465 million C-PACE deal for The Geneva, a landmark office-to-residential conversion in Washington, D.C. The transaction represents the largest C-PACE financing in history. </p>
<p>C-PACE, which stands for commercial property assessed clean energy, is a type of financing that differs from a traditional bank loan. It operates at the state level, requiring local leaders to pass enabling legislation. The amount of the loan is added to the property&#8217;s tax bill and repaid over a long period (often up to 20 or 30 years). This can make energy-saving projects more affordable, because the payments are spread out, typically at fixed rates, and the upgrades can lower operating costs and increase property value.</p>
<p>Between 2009 and the end of 2024, cumulative C-PACE investment reached nearly $10 billion, according to PACENation, a nonprofit that says it advocates for C-PACE financing. </p>
<p>Growth, however, has really accelerated over the past five years — with C-PACE lending posting double-digit gains — as more states pass policies enacting the program and more owners and lenders adopt the tool for financing projects. Currently 40 states have C-PACE policies with 32 active programs, up from six active programs in 2015.</p>
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<p>Nuveen closed $2.1 billion in C-PACE loans across 53 deals in 2025 alone and has originated over $5 billion in total. In September Nuveen closed on its now-second-largest C-PACE transaction to date at $290 million for the Pendry Hotel &amp; Residences in Tampa, Florida. The closing also marked the first C-PACE financed transaction in the city of Tampa.</p>
<p>Nuveen said upgrades financed by its C-PACE lending have saved over 300,000 metric tons of carbon dioxide. </p>
<p>But it&#8217;s not all about the environment, and lenders are quick to admit that, especially as political winds shift away from decarbonization.</p>
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<p>&#8220;The underlying need of making properties more resilient, more efficient to operate, really doesn&#8217;t go away,&#8221; said Alexandra Cooley, CEO and CIO of Nuveen Green Capital, an affiliate of Nuveen. &#8220;Actually, the vast majority of the projects that we see — the last I checked it was 97% — are some combination of either energy efficiency, which is cutting costs of operating the property, or climate resiliency. So a very small percentage is actually renewable energy.&#8221; </p>
<p>It is the mechanism, really, that is increasingly attractive to lenders in a higher-for-longer interest rate environment, in which economic policy uncertainty has hit traditional CRE bank lending hard. For institutional clients that want long-term, fixed-rate exposure, it&#8217;s appealing because C-PACE loans are secured by a senior tax assessment on a piece of real property. </p>
<p>&#8220;Our borrower is really the property itself, not necessarily the owner of that property at any given moment. So, it&#8217;s safer, and it enables our investors, who are long-term investors, to have that duration,&#8221; Cooley explained.</p>
<p>Another major player in the space, Peachtree, closed its largest C-PACE deal, a $176.5 million loan for the Rio Hotel &amp; Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada, for renovations that were actually completed in 2024. The loan was structured to finance these renovations retroactively, so the owners could reduce their senior loan obligations, another benefit of the C-PACE product. </p>
<p>&#8220;They can be utilized as a rescue capital mechanism, where you just recently opened a new development project, a new development hotel property, a multifamily property, any type of commercial real estate property, and you could technically do a retroactive C-PACE loan to help recapitalize that project and help pay down the bank or the lender that financed the project,&#8221; explained Greg Friedman, CEO of Peachtree Group. </p>
<p>Friedman said he sees C-PACE as an economic development tool at a time when &#8220;capital markets for commercial real estate have been broken.&#8221; </p>
<p>&#8220;Banks make up 50% of the commercial real estate lending market. Banks tend to be the lender of choice for new construction, new development projects, and they&#8217;re just not lending at the same level,&#8221; he said. </p>
<p>C-PACE is very profitable for Peachtree as a business, Friedman said, because the company can aggregate and securitize the loans. </p>
<p>&#8220;We have a lot of insurance companies that will invest into these securitizations,&#8221; he added.</p>
<p>While C-PACE lenders are less focused on the &#8220;green&#8221; aspects of the loan, they are still drawn in by the &#8220;resilience.&#8221; </p>
<p>C-PACE loans can be made in order to fund energy efficient upgrades, which saves money overall and makes the building more valuable, but they can also be done for upgrades to the building&#8217;s resilience. That includes against flood, fire and even earthquakes. That is also appealing to investors as climate disasters become ever more extreme.</p>
<p>Cooley said she sees three things driving expansion in the space: More states adopting C-PACE programs, market education and awareness, and investor interest. </p>
<p>&#8220;As institutional investors have come in, the cost of capital and the structure of C-PACE has become a lot more compelling for the commercial real estate industry,&#8221; she said. </p>
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		<title>The 30-year-old obsessive networker who is dominating a wildly profitable niche on Wall Street known as ‘directs’ &#124; Fortune</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/the-30-year-old-obsessive-networker-who-is-dominating-a-wildly-profitable-niche-on-wall-street-known-as-directs-fortune/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Nov 2025 09:03:48 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[It was August 2023, and Matt Swain had five offers on the table for Triago, the company where he’d recently ascended to CEO. He’d built the mightily profitable franchise in an obscure corner of private equity called “directs”—essentially pairing solidly run businesses that wanted to sell, with family offices looking for outsize returns. Now, suitors [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<br /><img decoding="async" src="https://fortune.com/img-assets/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/100521Triago-Swain-Matt.jpg?w=2048" alt="100521Triago Swain Matt" title="The 30-year-old obsessive networker who is dominating a wildly profitable niche on Wall Street known as ‘directs’ | Fortune 6"></p>
<p>It was August 2023, and Matt Swain had five offers on the table for Triago, the company where he’d recently ascended to CEO. He’d built the mightily profitable franchise in an obscure corner of private equity called “directs”—essentially pairing solidly run businesses that wanted to sell, with family offices looking for outsize returns. Now, suitors comprising top banks from Spain and Korea, a leading U.S. private equity firm, a major Midwestern lender, and a giant Asian trading house were circling. </p>
<div>
<p>But as Swain weighed the offers, one stood out—from Bob Hotz, chairman of corporate finance and acquisitions chief at mid-market investment banking powerhouse Houlihan Lokey. He felt sure that Houlihan would provide the best home for himself and his team. So he was crushed when an email arrived: “We regrettably will withdraw from considering the purchase of Triago,” wrote Hotz, but noted that “you were the primary reason for our interest,” and graciously suggested they meet for a quick coffee at 9:20 the next morning. </p>
<p>Swain didn’t expect much. “I didn’t even wear socks with my loafers. I never wear socks at any casual, inconsequential meeting,” he recalls. “I just wanted to get veteran Bob’s advice on which offer to pick.” At breakfast, the hyperkinetic youngster quizzed the silver-coiffed, soft-spoken Hotz, who’s a half-century his senior. “Given the time limit, I was talking so fast I didn’t even touch my usual avocado toast. I asked Bob: ‘Which one is the right fit?’ And Bob does a total flip, and says, ‘I think we’re the best partner.’” </p>
<p>At 11 p.m. on Wednesday, Aug. 30, Hotz called Swain to declare he was in—but only on the condition that Swain leave his house full of guests on Nantucket and fly to London the Sunday of Labor Day weekend for a rapid-fire session of due diligence. Swain agreed and boarded the red-eye to Heathrow toting a bulging roller suitcase packed full of financials. By the following Friday, Houlihan Lokey had clinched the whirlwind purchase, reportedly for well over $100 million. </p>
<p>The marriage created a force to watch on Wall Street, between a whiz kid with a knack for dealmaking, and the giant mid-tier investment bank you’ve probably never heard of. In his early twenties, even before joining Triago, Swain beat the Wall Street pros in recognizing that the burgeoning wealth of family offices meant there was high interest in purchasing individual companies, rather than investing in “blind pools” of enterprises assembled by the private equity (PE) giants. </p>
<p>The founders of those family offices had often built and sold their own companies, and they and their heirs relished “kicking the tires,” instead of having a Carlyle or TPG decide for them. To satisfy that appetite among the super-wealthy, Swain developed a wide network of venturesome “independent sponsors,” operators that obtained letters of intent to purchase private, midsize businesses that did everything from making routine airplane parts to marketing Disney-branded souvenirs at a predetermined price. </p>
<p>That process where investors cherry-pick their own deals rather than, say, joining fund No. 7 of a PE colossus, is called “directs.” It’s existed for decades, but in his five years at Triago, Swain has proved the prime mover in taking the sector from backwater to big business, and became king of the realm. By <em>Fortune’</em>s estimates, drawn from industry data, the value of all direct deals, using the broad definition of single investments in private companies, will explode to something like $200 billion this year, multiple the number several years ago.</p>
<p>Still, “directs” have a way to go before they pose any sort of real threat to the PE giants. Though Swain has big plans, there has yet to be mass adoption by the traditional stalwarts of PE—the big pension funds, insurers, and endowments. Those huge institutions still overwhelmingly choose pools, where they can put tons of money to work quickly without specialized teams needed to parse these bespoke deals. Meanwhile success attracts competition—and Swain’s fat returns (garnered by buying and fixing cheap, overlooked, small and midsize companies) are attracting more and more competitors, a trend that could hike prices and reduce profits.</p>
<p>But no challenges seem to faze Swain, who has developed a vast Rolodex featuring the investment arms for the clans of late real estate magnate Sam Zell and ambassador to the U.K. Warren Stephens, plus the Romneys and Bloombergs, among a panoply of luminary names. He proved an expert at curating a cast of top sponsors and identifying the investments that promised—and a few years later delivered—big, PE-beating returns. “Pre-Matt, we had to find the independent sponsors, and it was difficult,” says Duran Curis, founding partner at Ocean Avenue Capital Partners, who manages a $2 billion portfolio of 140 directs. “His big contribution is that he finds them for us, and presents the best opportunities.” Now, paired with the muscle of Houlihan Lokey, Swain has big plans to start selling to pension funds, endowments, and asset managers.</p>
<p>Adds David Feierstein, cofounder of Ronin Equity Partners, an investment firm for which Swain’s raised several hundred million dollars to fund half a dozen purchases, “If you didn’t have someone as aggressive and charismatic as Matt, the directs industry wouldn’t be nearly where it is today. Matt had the first mover advantage. In directs, Matt runs the show.” </p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The charm offensive </h2>
<p>There’s something rare about Swain, who is a young brainiac, but one who has built his business the old-fashioned, pre-quant-trading and Excel models Wall Street way, via charm offensives that weave webs of tight relationships few rivals can match. It’s remarkable that this super-hustler comes from a highly privileged background. He grew up in Greenwich, Conn., son of the CFO of a prominent hedge fund. His ancestors were the original owners of Nantucket island. “Matt tells me his family had been coming to Nantucket for generations. So we’re walking to get coffee and we pass Swain Street, then Swain House, then we go to the Whaling Museum and get greeted by half a dozen portraits of his forbears,” says Rupert Edis, CEO of the Landon family office that includes Landon Capital Partners, a long-standing investor in Swain’s directs.</p>
<p>After graduating from Colgate University, where he served as student body president and starred in squash—he’s still one of the best amateur players in Manhattan—Swain joined Stifel, in a “placement agent” unit that raised money for hedge funds. The managers were amazed that family offices weren’t returning their calls, so they assigned Swain to find takers from a “dead list” of 1,000 mostly wealthy clans. The green recruit got mostly noes, upbraidings, and even a “You’re a midget!” from the respondents who didn’t hang up, but he also learned there was a gap in the market. </p>
<p>Swain played matchmaker. He found that independent sponsor IVEST needed funding for a plush toy purveyor called Dan Dee, and brought their leaders to Solamere, the family office representing the Romneys, former Walmart CEO Lee Scott, and other wealthy investors. Swain raised $100 million to notch the purchase. By 2018, he found a spot that was just small and daring enough to take a flier on his vision of building a whole business around directs: Triago, the firm founded by Frenchman Antoine Dréan that did a thriving trade in a close cousin, finding buyers for limited partners (LPs) that sought to sell their stakes in private equity pools. </p>
<p>Swain quickly turned directs into Triago’s profit driver. Over three years, he raised $3 billion in equity capital for 35 deals that, including debt, backed over $10 billion in purchases. In April 2022, Dréan named his 27-year old comer as CEO. </p>
<p>While Big PE typically delivers twofold returns to investors over a longer holding period, directs aim far higher. “Our investors are looking for returns of 3x or more,” says Patrick Zyla, managing director of Castle Harlan, a firm that Swain has worked with extensively.  </p>
<p>Regular PE funds famously charge around 2% a year on all investors’ funds, whether or not they’ve been put to work yet. The directs sponsors typically don’t charge any fees at all, and even better, don’t get paid unless they deliver big-time. The industry’s giants usually get a fixed “carry” of 20% of profits when companies are sold. But directs deals are usually structured so that the sponsors garner zip until they hit a 2x bogey. Over that number, they start collecting 20%, but their take accelerates sharply with each multiple of their investors’ stake they return. If the sponsor-managers hit 5x, they can pocket as much as 40% of the gain.  </p>
<figure class="wp-block-pullquote">
<blockquote>
<p>“If you didn’t have someone as aggressive and charismatic as Matt, the directs industry wouldn’t be nearly where it is today.”<cite>David Feierstein, cofounder of Ronin Equity Partners</cite></p>
</blockquote>
</figure>
<p>Sam Zell, who along with his team funded a number of Swain’s deals, absolutely loved this ultra-“skin in the game” aspect of directs. (Swain relates that Zell liked having his photo snapped alongside the youngster, as Swain was only slightly taller than the late bantam tycoon.) Zell and the president of the Zell family office EGI, Mark Sotir, would push Swain to arrange transactions that raised the bar for capturing a share of the profits, but gave the management teams an even bigger score for fabulous results. </p>
<p>That makes Houlihan Lokey’s pitch particularly appealing right now, given that PE has seen a sharp drop-off in exits: According to Hamilton Lane, a firm that invests on behalf of pension funds, as of 2021 PE firms were still holding 45% of their buyout deals five years following their purchase; last year, around 65% were still sitting unsold after a half-decade. </p>
<p>Meanwhile Swain’s model thrives on speed. With directs, the money comes fast, and so do the fees. It typically takes placement agents working on behalf of PE firms nine to 18 months to raise a full fund. But once the Swain gang gets a mandate from a sponsor, he and his bankers regularly make the rounds and secure the funding in eight to nine weeks. His team of 40 also concentrates on bigger and bigger deals that swell their take from the average directs transaction. This year, he expects to do around a dozen deals at an average enterprise value of $200 million to $400 million. “That’s much, much bigger than the average in the industry,” he avows. “We’re now working on one worth $2 billion, and the numbers will keep climbing.” </p>
<p>That expanded holding time, and LP thirst for liquidity, should especially benefit the first field where Swain and Houlihan Lokey envisage big expansion beyond traditional directs: so-called continuation vehicles, or CVs, where a fund tags an outstanding company promising great things, and doesn’t want to sell as it exits the other holdings. Today, Evercore is the biggest player, but Houlihan is rising. CVs cash out most of the existing LPs in that star “keeper” at a good return, and replace them with a fresh crop that sees big gains ahead by keeping and growing the standout for another, say, three or four years. The company spins off from the fund and continues as a stand-alone. The newcomers are once again going “direct” since they’re shopping on a deal-by-deal basis. </p>
<p>The second offshoot is what’s known as “co-investment.” PE firms increasingly seek to raise money beyond what the original investors contributed to a given fund. Say the managers see a software provider on the block at a bargain price, and want to add it to a tech portfolio. Or the “concentration limit” on any one purchase is $300 million, and they’d hate to miss out on a perfect fit at $450 million. Or the goal may be clinching a big add-on acquisition, or satisfying an unforeseen surge in sales by constructing new plants. In all those cases, the fund may lack the capital for seizing the opportunity. It may have $300 million still in its coffers and need a couple of hundred million more.</p>
<p>Swain and the Houlihan Lokey team view the area, still in its infancy, as a huge field for lucrative fundraising and investment-banking business. It’s a good deal for the fund LPs because they pay no fee or carry on the additional capital. The new investors pay carry at a rate that’s closely tied to performance: The percentage starts low and rises depending on the level of profit achieved. The arrangement empowers the co-investors to pick and choose their own individual deals, the great lure of directs in general.   </p>
<p>Instead of coming from the small sponsors that Swain has mainly represented in the past, these opportunities are flowing from big, established PE outfits that have run these candidates for years, and can show impressive track records, both for the co-invest property and the firm’s overall performance. That imprimatur greatly heightens their appeal. </p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">“A commercial thought every minute of every day”</h2>
<p> At Houlihan Lokey, Swain persists in the headlong roundelay of networking that’s his calling card. He does most of his business in a five-block radius of Midtown Manhattan. He resides in a Moorish-themed, Park Avenue high-rise, where he rents an apartment from Eric Trump; Ivanka Trump is his neighbor. Swain does his primary dealmaking at two nearby eateries, tony French venue Le Bilboquet and the LoewsRegency Bar &amp; Grill. “I do back to back breakfasts at Loews, then a lunch at Bilboquet,” he avows. “Then in the evening it’s three chapters. First a cocktail at Bilboquet, then a real dinner, then an elongated catch-up over drinks. Before I hit 30, it would stop at midnight. Now that I’m 30, it’s over by 11:00 or midnight.” In the interests of efficiency, Swain changes tables when the new guest arrives, even if the old guest is still sitting there. Notes Tom Burchill, managing partner of PE firm Seven Point: “He bounces from one pole to another. Once, I got him for 45 minutes at Bilboquet. Lucky me.” When on Nantucket, Swain zooms around the island in a hard-bottom, Navy SEAL–style, super-high-speed raft, a type deployed by the military in Ukraine. He had it imported, and the money went to a manufacturer looking to support jobs in the beleaguered nation.</p>
<p>His business associates view him as both blithely charming and, in a word, obsessed. “Matt thinks a commercial thought every minute of every day,” observes Hotz, whom Swain reveres as “Uncle Bob.”  Adds Mike DiPiano, managing general partner at tech PE firm NewSpring Capital: “He’s a young man selling at all times.” His ability to attract top older notables is remarkable. “He’s got this old soul for a young guy, and it’s infectious,” says Kevin Wilcox of the Stephens family office. Edis, of the Landon family office, praises Swain’s knack for “attracting powerful mentors and allies” and calls his ability to accomplish tasks in a jiffy as “Napoleonic”—at 5-foot-8, by the way, Swain is midsize, like the companies he markets.</p>
<p>Though Houlihan Lokey bought Triago 18 months ago, each side is already bringing the other big benefits. It’s astounding that the firm is so little known. Houlihan ranks as the world’s largest investment bank for midsize private companies. It’s also been the top performer on Wall Street for rewarding investors over the past decade, and by a lot. In that span, it’s delivered total shareholder returns of 26.4% a year, beating such fellow boutiques as Lazard (5.9%), Jefferies (13.2%), Moelis (17.2%), and Evercore (22%), while also waxing big guys Citigroup (9.3%), Bank of America (14.5%), Goldman Sachs (18.0%), Morgan Stanley (19.9%), and J.P. Morgan (20.3%). Back in the fall of 2015, Houlihan’s market cap trailed those of Jefferies, Lazard, and Evercore. Now at $13.6 billion, it’s bigger than all three.</p>
<p>A major plus in terms of the synergy at the newly combined company: the directs investment, fund investment, CVs, and co-investments originating from Houlihan Lokey’s PE clients. In 2023 Atlas Merchant Capital, a combined hedge and PE fund headed by former Barclays CEO Bob Diamond, worked with Houlihan as its advisor to MarshBerry, in a significant fund investment for that leading platform in the insurance brokerage space. Diamond is a Swain fan and was one of the Triago bidders. Now that Swain has joined Houlihan, Diamond is giving the firm business on both the fund investment and directs sides; he’s recently engaged the Swain team on securing follow-on capital for Atlas portfolio companies.  </p>
<p>The CV connection is also spouting advisory fees for Houlihan Lokey. Last October, Swain raised the money for PE fund NewSpring, renowned for scoring big from buying Nutrisystem in the 2000s, for a vehicle that combined two of its star portfolio holdings. “You realize that if you could just hold these investments longer you’ll get much more out of them,” says cofounder DiPiano. Over sundry phone calls, Houlihan provided investment banking guidance to the family office investors, parsing the transactions’ pros and cons. </p>
<p>In co-invests, Riverside, a $14 billion PE firm that had been a Houlihan Lokey client for years but never worked with Triago, was seeking additional co-investment equity as a way to attract new limited partners and close on two fresh investments. Via the Houlihan connection, in stepped the Swain team. “We were introduced to dozens of LPs in short order, and secured investments from a number of them,” says Peggy Roberts, a managing partner at the firm. “Partnering with Houlihan has helped us forge sustained relationships with firms we would not have met otherwise.”</p>
<p>In the past nine months, Houlihan has raised over $500 million to secure three purchases for Swain’s stalwart customer Ronin. In June, the Swain contingent provided Ronin the funding to buy a company that repairs and overhauls systems for commercial aircraft. Houlihan conducted analysis on behalf of the family office investors. In April, Landon Capital Partners (LCP) scored a big hit via the sale of its portfolio holding, Wisconsin cheesemaker Heartisan Foods, where it partnered with Ronin on a deal in which Triago had raised the money. Through the Swain link, LCP has awarded Houlihan two mandates, one for a debt financing of a portfolio company, and another to explore a sale. </p>
<p>Early this year, the directs franchise collected $75 million in equity and debt for Seven Point to buy Frazier Aviation, producer of structural parts for military aircraft. Now, Seven Point is strongly considering Houlihan Lokey to provide the mark-to-market valuation analysis of its portfolio holdings to deliver to investors. </p>
<p>The rewards also go the other way. Liberty Hall, a PE sponsor focused exclusively on aerospace and defense, is a long-standing Houlihan Lokey client, and had hired Triago before the acquisition to lead a CV. The tie-up has further deepened its Houlihan relationship. Liberty Hall hired Houlihan to raise the capital for a classic direct that closed earlier this year. Between the CV and direct, Houlihan secured $250 million for Liberty. It’s also working with the Houlihan M&amp;A group to seek new purchases.   </p>
<p>Edis, chief of the Landon family office and a protégé of its founder, the late swashbuckling billionaire Timothy Landon, who’s legendary as the chief political advisor to his military school chum, the sultan of Oman, notes that Swain gives Houlihan Lokey an extra edge. “Matt’s been crucial in upselling Houlihan’s other services. As investments move through their life cycle, they need M&amp;A, debt refinancing, and finding buyers for the final sale, and the natural thing for one of Matt’s companies is for Houlihan to take on that work,” says Edis. “We’re doing a new refi with Houlihan because of the cycle that began with Matt.”</p>
<p>In April 2025, the firm promoted Swain as co-head of its equity capital solutions group. The unit encompasses both the equity and debt fundraising franchises; according to sources on Wall Street the group generates $400 million to $500 million a year in revenue—that’s as much as a quarter of the $2.4 billion the firm posted in fiscal year 2025, ended in March. </p>
<p>Swain’s section is highly lucrative. From industry sources, <em>Fortune</em> estimates that at an annual run rate, the three directs areas combined—the traditional variety, CVs, and co-invests—are raising well over $5 billion a year. From studying this highly fragmented industry, <em>Fortune</em> concludes that Houlihan Lokey leads the field in combined classic directs and CVs; in directs alone, it holds a market share of around 10%. </p>
<p>For Swain, the rise of directs presages nothing less than a revolution in the world’s financial markets. “In the future, more and more institutional investors like pension funds and endowments will follow the family offices in buying individual companies, just as investors pick stocks. Instead of investing in a pool, they’ll invest directly into a company’s equity,” he declares. “In other words, directs will make the private market for companies much more liquid so that it looks like the public market for stocks.” Swain predicts that within a decade, the total size of the three classes of directs will be attracting the same annual volume of new funds as traditional PE commands today.</p>
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<p>“In the future, directs will make the private market for companies much more liquid so that it looks like the public market for stocks.”<cite>Matt Swain</cite></p>
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<p>Already the Ventura County Employees’ Retirement Association is launching a program that will spend up to $20 million on directs co-investment this year, and the Texas Municipal Retirement System plans to dedicate as much as $15 billion over the next five years, adding extra growth capital to individual holdings in PE funds. “The large pension funds are migrating to smaller managers in the lower-middle-market and middle-market space because that’s where they’re seeing the highest returns,” says a leading investment advisor to the PE industry. </p>
<p>Swain’s PE customers praise his analytical skills in identifying the most promising deals. “He did intense due diligence on the Frazier Aviation deal, where we’re sponsor,” recalls Burchill of Seven Point. “When Matt goes in front of investors and says it will be good, they listen to him. His credibility helped give us our choice of investors.”</p>
<p>The golden child has developed his own highly original approach in trawling for profit—even on the streets of Manhattan, where you’ll never find him inside a taxi. “No matter how hot or cold it may be, Matt will say, ‘Let’s walk. It’s better for networking,’” marvels Hotz. One day in September, this writer joined Swain on one of his excursions down Park Avenue, and on cue, he ran into Jack Oliver, who heads the PE firm Finback, alongside former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Two of the most outsize personas in private equity held their own little curbside summit, rapping on how they might connect on deals. I later asked the super-personable Oliver whether he or Swain is the more magnetic presence. Riposted Oliver: “I’d have to say I have the bigger personality. But he’s more successful.” One thing’s for sure, in a business that thrives on relationships, Swain will never stop working the room, the block, the island, the world, to bring deep-pocketed investors into his own corner of Wall Street.
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		<title>Senores Pharma has niche positives, can be a long-term bet</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/senores-pharma-has-niche-positives-can-be-a-long-term-bet/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Dec 2024 01:10:55 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[ET Intelligence Group: Ahmedabad-based Senores Pharma is a formulations company catering to regulated as well as emerging markets. It is rolling out an IPO of ₹582 crore comprising a fresh issue of ₹500 crore and an offer-for-sale of ₹82 crore that dilutes the promoter shareholding from 66.6% to 45.7%. Of the issue proceeds, ₹303 crore [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<div data-brcount="13">ET Intelligence Group: Ahmedabad-based Senores Pharma is a formulations company catering to regulated as well as emerging markets. It is rolling out an IPO of ₹582 crore comprising a fresh issue of ₹500 crore and an offer-for-sale of ₹82 crore that dilutes the promoter shareholding from 66.6% to 45.7%. Of the issue proceeds, ₹303 crore are going to be used for repayment of borrowings, incurring capex and working capital.</p>
<p><strong>Business Overview</strong></p>
<p>Incorporated in 2017, the company identifies, develops and commercialises speciality and complex niche products in mid-market range. It also undertakes contract manufacturing for its customers. It earns through in-licensing fee, transfer pricing and profit sharing. Over 60% of its revenues come from supplying to regulated markets of the US, Canada and the UK and 32% from emerging markets. </p>
<p><strong>Financials &amp; Growth Prospects</strong><br />Two acquisitions-Havix and Ratnatris-integrated during FY24. While the company&#8217;s revenues and net profit for FY24 stood at ₹214 and ₹24.9 crore respectively, the same for six months ended September 2024 stood at ₹181 crore and ₹24 crore respectively. The Ebitda margin too improved from 20.7% to 26% during the same period.</p>
<p>Senores intends to significantly enhance market presence in North America and launch products with potential of NDA approval in the US. </p>
<div data-align="" data-msid="116486028" data-type="image" class="midImg clearfix">
<figure class="imgBg"><img decoding="async" title="Senores Pharma has Niche Positives, can be a Long-term Bet" alt="Senores Pharma has Niche Positives, can be a Long-term Bet" src="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-42031747/et-logo.jpg" class="lazy gwt-Image" data-msid="116486028" data-original="https://img.etimg.com/photo/msid-116486028/senores-pharma-has-niche-positives-can-be-a-long-term-bet.jpg"/><span class="imgAgency">Agencies</span></figure>
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<p><strong>Valuations &amp; Risk Factors</strong><br />At an implied market cap of around ₹1,800 crore, the IPO values the company at five times its annualised revenues for FY25 and 37.6 times its annualised earnings for FY25. These are aggressive valuations for a small company with a differentiated business model in the high-clutter pharma sector. Long-term investors interested in a niche pharma company can consider investing in the issue bearing the risk that the company may not be able to maintain the strong growth momentum seen in the first half of FY25.</p>
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		<title>Shaking seats and piped-in fog: How 4DX is carving out a niche moviegoing market</title>
		<link>https://lsd.hu/shaking-seats-and-piped-in-fog-how-4dx-is-carving-out-a-niche-moviegoing-market/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 27 May 2024 22:54:31 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Chris Hemsworth stars as the villainous Dementus in Warner Bros.&#8217; &#8220;Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga.&#8221; Warner Bros. Discovery In George Miller&#8217;s new Mad Max film &#8220;Furiosa,&#8221; a red paint flare explodes and casts the theater screen in a saturated crimson cloud. Feet away, among the rows of gyroscopic 4DX chairs, plumes of fog roll in, [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>Chris Hemsworth stars as the villainous Dementus in Warner Bros.&#8217; &#8220;Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga.&#8221;</p>
<p>Warner Bros. Discovery</p>
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<p>In George Miller&#8217;s new Mad Max film &#8220;Furiosa,&#8221; a red paint flare explodes and casts the theater screen in a saturated crimson cloud.</p>
<p>Feet away, among the rows of gyroscopic 4DX chairs, plumes of fog roll in, catching the red hue from the screen as if the flare somehow transcended the fourth wall and infiltrated the cinema. The fog parts, Chris Hemsworth as Dementus comes into focus and grins at the audience.</p>
<p>This is the 4DX viewing experience. It&#8217;s one of many multi-sensory moments programmed for &#8220;Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga,&#8221; which opened in theaters Friday, in order to immerse audiences in Miller&#8217;s latest visit to the vast Wasteland. And it amounts to a key value proposition at a time when cinemas are desperate to lure back moviegoers, particularly those in the younger demographics.</p>
<p>&#8220;We make movies different,&#8221; said Duncan Macdonald, head of worldwide marketing and theatre development for CJ 4DPlex Americas. &#8220;We are so different out there, with our motion capabilities and our environmental effects.&#8221;</p>
<p>In the wake of the pandemic, audiences grew used to shorter theatrical windows and having access to more content at home. At the same time, pandemic-related shutdowns and production stalls from two Hollywood strikes greatly limited the amount of content hitting theaters. As a result, consumers fell out of the habit of going to cinemas.</p>
<p>Moviegoers who have returned are seeking premium experiences — higher-quality picture and sound — and are willing to pay more for those tickets. 4DX is one option in the premium large format market alongside the likes of <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-1">IMAX<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> and Dolby Cinema. CJ 4DPlex also owns the ScreenX format.</p>
<p>&#8220;Premium movie theatre experiences are key to the health of the industry and with fewer films in the marketplace on average than in past years, the importance and essential nature of a company like 4DX comes into sharp focus,&#8221; said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at Comscore.</p>
<p>4DX utilizes motion seats, practical effects and sensory elements to immerse viewers in a movie. For <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-2">Warner Bros.&#8217;<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> &#8220;Wonka,&#8221; the company piped in the smell of chocolate during screenings.</p>
<p>CJ 4DPlex Americas CEO Don Savant says the experience is &#8220;complementary&#8221; to routine moviegoing experiences, noting that 4DX cinemas attract younger consumers, predominantly in the 10-to-30 age range, who are seeking more experiential viewing.</p>
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<p>4DX is a 4D film presentation system developed by CJ 4DPlex, a subsidiary of South Korean cinema chain CJ CGV. It allows films to be augmented with various practical effects, including motion-seats, wind, strobe lights, simulated-snow, and scents.</p>
<p>CJ 4DPlex</p>
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<p>For consumers, the 4DX experience costs an average of $8 more than traditional ticket prices, meaning a ticket can range from $20 to $30 each. But the extra cost doesn&#8217;t seem to be detering audiences.</p>
<p>Last year, 4DX&#8217;s domestic locations tallied $53.4 million in ticket sales.</p>
<p>&#8220;Notably, the higher price for premium movie tickets is not a barrier to their success but rather seen as representing a solid value proposition for fans in pursuit of the best possible big screen experience,&#8221; Dergarabedian said. &#8220;This is good news for theater owners who, facing fewer wide release films in the marketplace, can boost revenues on a per-ticket basis while giving their patrons a great experience that will have them returning to the multiplex more often.&#8221; </p>
<p>And, for major blockbuster titles, 4DX is proving to be even more popular. Ticket sales for <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-3">Disney&#8217;s<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><button class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistButton" aria-label="Add To Watchlist" data-testid="dropdown-btn"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></button></span></span></span> &#8220;Avatar: The Way of Water&#8221; topped $83.6 million from 4DX screens, or about 3.6% of the film&#8217;s total box office haul. It is currently the highest-grossing film for the screen format, Savant said.</p>
<p>&#8220;We want to give customers an easy excuse to leave their homes and visit a local Regal theater,&#8221; said CEO Eduardo Acuna of Regal Cinemas. &#8220;Premium formats like 4DX offer a movie-watching experience that cannot be replicated by any home theater setup. Each premium format serves a different purpose for storytelling, and each increases the enjoyment of watching a movie in a different and immersive way.&#8221;</p>
<p>Acuna noted that 4DX auditoriums are &#8220;a strong box office performer&#8221; for Regal.</p>
<p>Regal is the largest operator of 4DX screens domestically, with 50 of the 62 locations found in the U.S. and Canada. Globally, there are nearly 750 4DX screens with numerous theatrical partners. The highest volume is in Asia and Europe.</p>
<p>Savant said 4DX is adding around 25 to 30 screens per year worldwide, but is looking to push that figure up to 50 to 60 screens a year. The company is seeking to have around 1,200 4DX locations in the next five years. On average, each theater has around 140 seats.</p>
<p>Moviegoers who venture away from their couches and into a 4DX theater to see Warner Bros.&#8217; &#8220;Furiosa&#8221; will feel from their seat the rev of motorcycles racing through the desert, smell gunpowder in the air during epic gun battles and even get hit with a soft spray of water as it&#8217;s flicked in the face of a character on the screen.</p>
<p>Last year, 4DX programmed more than 100 films for the souped-up viewing experience. Around 40 to 45 of those were major Hollywood titles, Savant said. Others included concert content, musical singalongs, anniversary titles and local language films.</p>
<p>Typically, the 4DX programmers, who are based in Seoul, have two to three weeks to craft the motion and special effects, although Savant said they can turn around a film in a week if the need arises. 4DX can program three titles at a time.</p>
<p>Both Macdonald and Savant referred to 4DX&#8217;s programmers as &#8220;artists,&#8221; describing the process — from the subwoofers in the seats to the fog machines — as different brushstrokes in a work of art.</p>
<p>&#8220;Every film is different,&#8221; said Macdonald. &#8220;So we look at the nuances of the different films that we have and how those are programmed.&#8221;</p>
<p>In some cases filmmakers will get involved, offering suggestions for when certain effects should be used and how subtle or bombastic they should feel or look.</p>
<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s the most dynamic way to see [a film],&#8221; Savant said.</p>
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